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FOOTBALL ARCHIVE BELOW - Service was stoped in September due to lack of expert (ise! )

PREMIERSHIP WEEKEND 24th September 2010 -

It has been a bad week for Liverpool and Everton, after being dumped out of the League cup on penalties by teams in the lower divisions and losing last weekend.. Both will be looking to bounce back but will face tricky opposition in the shape of Fulham & Sunderland respectively. Everton travel to Fulham which is always a hard ground to visit and Liverpool host Sunderland, who got a good point against Arsenal last week and also having beat Man City earlier on

Champions Chelsea will get their first real test of the season as they travel to the team who beat them twice in the league last year. Man City will be disappointed after getting dumped out of the league cup so will be under pressure to get a result after an indifferent start to the season. This will be a tight one to call if both teams play to their potential.. Arsenal entertain West Brom in a game they would expect to win and try hopefully close the gap, if City can take anything against Chelsea..

West Ham face Spurs on the back of getting their first point of the season, they will be up for this after winning in mid-week too. Spurs meanwhile after a shocking result against neighbours Arsenal and with the champions league campaign in the week could be in for a tricky afternoon against one of Redknapps former clubs.. Man Utd face the short trip to Bolton on Sunday, buoyed by a good result and performance last week against bitter rivals Liverpool, they will be hoping for another 3 points on a ground where theyve had mixed results in the past few seasons. With Berbatov taking over from Rooney as Uniteds main weapon this season you would expect the away team to take the points here although the return of Jaaskelinan in goal is important to the Trotters at the back..

The final games see Birmingham vs Wigan at St Andrews, with a good home record its hard to see Wigan getting anything here, Blackpool host Blackburn, both teams will fancy their chances in this one, Stoke travel to St James Park looking to keep their recent good run going and Villa travel to Wolves looking for a good start to league life under the stewardship of Houllier

Treble          Arsenal ( -1 ), Birmingham & Man Utd - 1pt pays 7/2 Paddy Power

THE INSIDE RIGHT


PREMIERSHIP WEEKEND 18th Septmeber 2010 -

The big game this weekend see fierce rivals Man Utd host Liverpool, you know the importance of this game with both managers resting a host of key players in the midweek European fixtures. With neither team firing on all cylinders so far, this could be a key game for the shape of their respective campaigns. United are already 4 points behind and cannot afford to drop anymore points after leading against both Fulham & Everton. This is a tight one to call, but the criticism Fergies team has received this week could be enough to spur them onto 3 points and a big win..

After their debut in the champions league Spurs return with home match against Wolves. Can the Londoners deal with the post match hangover that effects so many teams after European games against a physical and battling McCarthy team. This will be tight and I expect the honours to finish even.. Arsenal return to premier league football after a good win in midweek, this will give them confidence ahead of a tricky trip to Sunderland. The Stadium of Light is no easy place to go and Steve Bruce will have his men ready for this game, with strikers Bent & Gyan capable of giving defences a torrid time Arsenal may find it tough at the back if Vermaelen is ruled out injured

Everton face Newcastle at home & after a great comeback against Man Utd, the home team will fancy getting their first 3 points of the season. The Toon are hard working under Chris Hughton but are still bedding in now theyre back in the big time, a great win against Villa and losing to Blackpool proves this. A great game for David Moyse to get his first league win of the season.

Pointless West Ham travel to Stoke, with manager Grant having the day off due to religious holidays this is a tough one for the Hammers. Stoke will be buoyed by Mondays comeback against Villa and will confident of another 3 points against the leagues bottom club. Its hard to see anything other than a home win here Bolton travel to Villa Park hoping to get back on track after last weeks mauling at Arsenal, but with Cahill & Jaaskelinan suspended they may find hard to against Villa

Champions Chelsea host Blackpool, on their last visit to the capital the men in orange were on the end of a hammering by Arsenal, they will be hoping for better luck this time but they are unlikely to get a shock result. Chelsea will have too much all over the pitch for Holloways battlers and will maintain their 100% start to the season.. Man City take the short trip to Wigan looking to improve on a mixed start to their season, winning 3-0 against Liverpool yet losing at home to Sunderland. Wigan have improved slightly after their nightmare start, but you wouldnt expect them to come away from this game with much to shout about..

Finally Blackburn host Fulham and West Brom play Birmingham in the midlands derby. Fulham were dealt a major blow with Zamora being ruled out for 5 months, a draw looks likely here although Blackburn have a good home record.. Derbys are always hard to call, West Brom look to play good football and Birmingham were unlucky to only get a draw against Liverpool last week, I fancy West Brom may sneak the points here

Treble          Stoke, Everton & Chelsea  1.5pts - 3/1 PPower

Double          West Brom & Arsenal 1pt - 3/1 P Power

0.5pt Acca - 13/1 P Power

Good Luck

THE INSIDE RIGHT...



PREMIERSHIP WEEKEND 10th September 2010 -

After a week of international football the premier league returns to action... The early game this weekend see's Everton host Man Utd, where a certain striker will get a more hostile home comming than usual. With 1 point from 9 so far the Toffee's will be looking to get their season back on track against a United side hoping to put pressure on their championship rivals. This is always a close one to call and the home team will make it very hard for Fergie's men, but i expect United to just pip this one by a single goal...
 
Having started the season well Bolton travel to the Emirates stadium. Owen Coyle has tried to change the way his team play, so this could be a more entertaining game that you would have expected in previous seasons. With both Rob(injury) Van Persie and Theo Walcott both ruled out with ankle injuries for up to 6 weeks the gunners will be relying on captain Fabregas to provide the spark to win the 3 points. This could a tight one to call due to the home sides injuries, and i fancy the Trotters to leave the capital with a point... Man City face Blackburn at home and will be looking to get back on track after losing in injury time last time out. Balotelli is out for atleast a month but City will not miss him here as they return to winning ways..
 
Champions Chelsea travel across town to face struggling West Ham, their fortunes have to change soon but with the form and most of their key players not playing in the recent internationals, Ancelotti's boys will be just to good and will stroll out comfortable winners..
 
In the weekends other games Newcastle are expected to take the points against Ian Holloways Blackpool at St James Park, draw specialists Fulham entertain Wolves at Craven Cottage, where a decent home record should be enough to take 3 points.. Tottenham travel to the Hawthorns minus goal scorer Defoe but will be giving likely debuts to Van Der Vaart and Gallas ahead of their midweek champions league debut. Spurs fans will be hoping for a good result before then, but can Harry keep the players focused against West Brom.. Wigan face their old manager after their surprise and much needed win last time out, however Sunderland can boast world cup star Asamoah Gyan in their team at the DW stadium and along with Darren Bent scoring for England on tuesday i expect Steve Bruce's team to take the points...
 
Sunday see's Liverpool travel to Birmingham, with Torres now fit and scoring in his last club game, this could be the start of a decent run for the merseysiders, with their star striker making a difference to a generally average squad (Gerrard, Reina & Carragher aside), Woy's team will be well organised & solid with their captain and Torres adding the extra spark. However they will need to be at their best as St Andrews is a hard place to go as alot of teams have found since their return to Engalnds top flight...
 
Treble   Liverpool, Sunderland & Chelsea    1 point - 7.4/1 P Power
Double  Tottenham & Man Utd    2 points - 2.9/1 P Power
 
Good Luck
The Inside Right


 

PREMIERSHIP Weekend 28th August 2010 -

Apologies for no write up this week the Inside Right is sampling hospitality at Old Trafford this weekend and set off early....

Arsenal 8/13, Fulham 11/8 , Everton 7/4 and Man City 5/6 

4 x 0.5pt Win Trebles and 0.5pt Win Accumulator

Have a great weekend

The Inside Right


 

PREMIERSHIP WEEKEND 21st August 2010 -

After a cracking result in their first game back in the big time after 50+ years Blackpool had the result of the weekend.. However they could be in for a more testing game this week as they travel down to London to face Arsenal at the Emirates. Blackpool will make the Gunners work hard for the 3 points but will end up losing by a couple of goals Champions Chelsea travel up to Wigan for their first away game of the season and will surely be expecting another comfortable win following last weeks 6-0 victory. After being booed off the pitch by their fans Wigan will try and make a fight of it,  even  though they did shock Chelsea last season at the DW Stadium, I cant see anything other than an away win..

Man Utd travel to Craven Cottage, where they have lost 3-0 in the last 2 seasons !! Fergie & his men will be looking to put that record straight after an impressive opener on Monday night. Fulham will still be bedding in under Mark Hughes management style and this could be a big game to early in the season to show their qualities. United will find this a tricky game but should edge this one.. Everton will be looking to bounce back after last weeks loss, due to Tim Howards error, a home match against Wolves should be what they need, it will be tight but with Saha & Jermaine Beckford they should have enough upfront to make the difference between a draw and a win.

In the other games Spurs travel to Stoke after a disappointing debut in the Champions League (qualifier), this is a tricky away game for most teams and will not help Spurs before their return leg next Wednesday. Birmingham face Blackburn in what appears to be a game of few goals, Bolton travel to West Ham where both teams will fancy their chances, West Brom host Sunderland hoping to improve after last weeks mauling by Chelsea, Villa vs Newcastle at St James Park could be entertaining even with Milners departure for Man City.

Finally the weekends games finish with City vs Liverpool in a game neither team can afford to lose even this early in the season, this could be cracker. If Torres is fit enough to start and Gerrard can maintain his recent goal scoring form the scousers will help the atmosphere at the City of Manchester stadium with the blue fans expecting big things this season, I take City to edge this one in a game of goals

Weekend Tips

 Treble                 Arsenal, Chelsea & Man Utd 2pts - 6/4 P Power

Double          Everton & West Ham 1pt - 2.38/1 P Power

0.5pt  - Acca - 7.28/1

Good Luck

THE INSIDE RIGHT


PREMIERSHIP 2010/11 - DAY 1!!!

14th August 2010 -

So a the start of a new season After a pretty poor world cup the return of the premiership has been eagerly anticipated. With moneybags Man City outspending the rest it appears that they are going enter 2 teams to try and win the league !!!

Top Scorers

This could be tight one to call this year with the usual big hitters being up there come the end of the season, Rooney, Drogba & Torres (if he can stay fit) should all hit 20+ goals in the league. A potential dark horse could be Arsenals new signing Marouane Chamakh playing in a team that will create plenty of chances. Other decent outside bets will be Defoe (Spurs) & Bent (Sunderland), it will also be interesting to see how Evertons new recruit from Leeds Jermaine Beckford performs at the top level after impressing in cup games last season against top flight opposition

Top Scorer -

Fernando Torres 2pts  - 8/1 Stan James

Marouane Chamakh 1pt e/w - 25/1 General ( 4 places 1/4 odds )

Champions

It will be hard to look past last seasons top 2 again this year. Although with Chelsea losing a few experienced players in Ballack, Deco & Carvalho and giving youth a chance there could be chances for the others this season. Man Utd without last seasons injury list and new signing Hernandez looking likely to get double figures in the goal getting department to take the pressure away from Rooney. Also with Valencia in his second season & Nani looking like he will finally deliver on regular basis United, should be in with a good shout on making it title number 19. 

Arsenal suffered a few long term injuries last season which may have cost them a decent chance of finishing top, with better luck on the injuries the main thing for the gunners to improve on has to be taking points against the top sides where the failed miserably last season Liverpool with a lacklustre squad & Mascherano ready to leave, will have to rely on Torres & Gerrard being ever-present this time out & hitting their expected heights, expect new manager Woy Hodgson to have them organised and hard to beat, especially at Anfield.

Money bags Man City owners will expect the blue side to mount, at the very least, a serious run at a title challenge this year. If not then Mancinis job will be in doubt, scarf or no scarf !!! The amount of money spent in the close season suggests that the manager has made his demands & has been backed so the squad will have to perform. There could be a few big egos that could cause disruptions within the squad & take the focus away from the football. A top 4 finish is a must and I expect City to finish there but no title this year Last seasons 4th placed club Tottenham have the players to beat anyone on their day, however with champions league football to contend with (providing they beat a Swiss team) a repeat of last season position seems unlikely, especially with the money being spent by City & the only signing being a Brazilian named Sandro

Champions  -

Man Utd 2pts - 5/2 Victor Chandler

Arsenal 1pt e/w - 7/1 Ladbrokes ( 1-2 at 1/3 odds )

Enjoy the season and good luck. We'll be doing weekly bets from next weeks action, let's see how the form stacks up after week one!

The Inside Right


WORLD CUP JUNE 2010 - South Africa

South Africa.... Where the worlds best players (plus Mr Shaun Wright-Phillips) will be gathering to try and win the biggest tournament in world sport !!!

We've previewed the main markets and lined up some betting advice below....

Top Goalscorer

There are a few players who could be in with a shout to top the scoring charts this time round... The spanish strikeforce of Villa & Torres (if fully fit) appear to be attractive options, playing against Honduras, Switzerland & Chile in the group stages and being one of the teams likely to go close to winning... Luis Fabiano is another good bet to top the charts, Brazil's top scorer in qualifying looks likely to be their number 9, with N. Korea in their group and likely 2nd round & 1/4 final opponents not being any major concern... Wayne Rooney is hard to ignore if you forget about the patriotic side of betting, USA appear the hardest game in the group along with lesser opponents expected in the next 2 rounds then Rooney could go close, along as he keeps his temper in control.

Others of interest could be Miroslav Klose with the Germans always doing well in major tournaments, Van Persie appears to be a name on alot of peoples lips, with a comfortable group & with Schneider pulling the strings an attacking Dutch team should score goals. Gilardino could be a dark horse for this one even though you might not fancy the Italians to do well, after a good domestic season & being in a group containing New Zealand, who are rank outsiders (2000/1), Paraguay & Slovakia he could score some goals in the group stage and early knockout rounds...

L. Fabiano @ 12/1 with Paddy Power 0.5pt
W. Rooney @ 11/1 with Paddy Power 0.5pt
A. Gilardino @ 50/1 with Ladbrokes 0.5pt each way  - 4 places 1/4 odds

Group Winners
Groups B (Argentina), C (England), D (Germany) E (Holland), F (Italy) & H (Spain) seem like the likely winners of their respective groups...

Group G has been branded the group of Death, containing heavyweights Brazil, Portugal & Ivory Coast with N. Korea being the apparent whipping boys. This group could be decided by Drogba's broken arm ruling him out or not. Although a tricky group Brazil's experience of the big games should see them finish top in a tight group...

Group A is the most interesting to call, former champs France, the big name, only qualified via the play-off's & Henry's handball. They appear to lack confidence & with coach Domenech to stand down after the tournament some players may look beyond this tournament. Mexico are a promising young team as they showed against England recently, Uruguay have a decent world cup pedigree but lack the quality to escape the group, the final team in the group are hosts South Africa. With a nation behind them it could be enough to see them into the second round, but only as runners up. If Ribery, Benzema & Henry are up for it then France should have enough otherwise expect this group to go to the wire...

Four Fold - Holland, Spain, England & Germany @ 4.6/1 with Paddy Power 2pt
Treble - Brazil, Argentina & Mexico @ 8.8/1 with Paddy Power 1pt

Outright Winners

Anyone of six teams are in with a shout this time around... Spain are rightly stated as the bookies favourites. Any squad that can boast having Cesc Fabregas, Pedro & Pepe Reina as substitutes, attacking players such as Villa, Torres, Iniesta, Xavi & Silva in their first 11 have to be taken seriously... Brazil & Germany always do well in this tournament. Brazil have a squad of players that play in europes top club sides, that consistently challenge for the top honours, experience of the big occasion counts in the worlds biggest tournament. Coach Dunga has also installed some defensive discipline to an attacking lineup... Germany never fail to do well, with a young, exciting team again (Mesut Ozil could be a star of the tournament) along with experienced players like Klose, Podolski, Schweinsteiger & Lahm expect the Germans to go close again even without their injured captain Ballack...

England & Holland are teams that no-one will fancy taking on in the knock-out stages, if they don't hit the self destruct button. The Dutch boasted one of the meanest defences in qualifying (they did play Scotland twice though) & will always score goals. They don't have as many world class players as in years gone by, but have good quality in Sneijder, Robben & Van Persie. The big difference could be that there is no longer any big ego's (think David's & Van Nistelrooy) in the squad to disrupt coach Van Marwijk's plans... Where do you start with England, a squad boasting several world class players, potentially the best coach who is not affraid of upsetting the big names to get results & exciting young players challenging the establishment to a place in the starting lineup. This has to be their best chance of glory for many a tournament, if they get passed the red cards & shootout misery that seems to haunt them...

Argentina are the final team in with a shout. With the worlds best player (Messi) & other attacking talent in the shape of Tevez, Milito, Higuain, Di Maria, Aguero all being orchestrated by the born again Juan Veron and a solid defensive unit behind them (Samuel, Heinze, Burdisso & Mascherano) the South Americans chances all hinge on the descisions being made by eccentric manager & Argentina legend Maradonna. To be fair it is probably forgotten that he took over a team in trouble, which with one win in the previous seven games was already struggling to qualify but he got them over the line...

Brazil @ 9/2 with Paddy Power  - 2pts Win
Holland @ 10/1 with William Hill  - 1pt e/w
Argentina @ 7/1 with Coral - 1pt e/w

Enjoy the football festival & Good Luck
The Inside Right


FOOTBALL WEEKEND 8th MAY 2010 -

The final weekend of the league season is here & for once the only outstanding issue is who will be crowned champions, Chelsea or Man Utd ?? There's been alot of twists & turns but will there be one more ??
 
Chelsea go into their game against Wigan as red hot favourites to not only win the game but win the title, being at home they should be too strong against a Wigan team who have already beaten them this season. This should be a comfortable win for the home team & the party will be in full flow by 6pm...
 
Title rivals Man Utd host Stoke in a game United must win to have any chance of winning the league. The Old Trafford faithful will expect to see their team win and hope a miracle happens, United will win but the miracle is unlikely...
 
With fourth place now secure Tottenham will take the points against Burnley & hope bitter rivals Arsenal lose to Fulham so they can leapfrog them & finish in 3rd !! Spurs will win, but Arsenal will be out to ensure they get atleast the point they need to guarantee 3rd place.
 
Man City travel to West Ham and will hope to make up for the disapointing mid-week loss to Spurs & in turn not make the final champions league spot. With goals available from Tevez, Bellamy & Adebayor City will have too much for the hosts...
 
In other games Everton at home against cup finalists Portmouth should take the 3 points, Sunderland visit Wolves & with Darren Bent still with a slight chance of finishing top scorer may well be edge in this one. Liverpool travel to relegated Hull in what could be Rafa's last game in charge of the red's and will finish a very disappointing season with a win..
 
1pt Win Quad  -    Man Utd, Spurs, Chelsea & Everton - 2.49/1 wth P Power
1pt Win Treble -  Man City, Liverpool & Sunderland - 8.64/1 with P Power
 
Good Luck
The Inside Right


FOOTBALL WEEKEND 30th April 2010 -

 With no change at the top except for Chelsea extending their goal difference, it's the penultimate weekend. The top two both having away games this weekend, it's likely the destiny of the title will be decided here as both finish with winnable games at home...
 
First up Chelsea travel to Anfield. The hosts still have an outside chance of fourth & will be all out for 3 points after the disappointment of losing in Thursdays Europa semi in extra time. Chelsea mean while welcome back Terry after suspension & will be on a high after scoring 7 last weekend. This will be a tight game however with Chelsea in goalscoring form & having more attacking options i expect them to place one very large hand on the league trophy this weekend...
 
United, who will be hoping their bitter rivals can do them a favour 2 hours before they play, face a tricky visit to the Stadium of Light. Former captain Steve Bruce has already stated that his team are up for the game, will make things hard, with home wins against the likes of Arsenal, Spurs & Liverpool. United who havent lost in this fixture in the last 10 years, will need to be on top form. There won't be much in this one, with Bent aiming for the golden boot & a world cup place this could be the end of Uniteds league challenge...
 
Elsewhere Spurs will expect to win & stay fourth at home against a Bolton team that's now guaranteed top flight football for next season. At the same time Man City host Villa where a win for the away team could all but end City's hopes of Champions League football by going 4 points ahead.
 
Birmingham host relegated Burnley, with the visitors having a bad away record this should be a win for the midlanders. There could be a bruising encounter at the Brittania, after being thumped last weekend Tony Pulis will be expecting his Stoke team to show their fighting spirit against an Everton team still with dreams of a europa spot for next season. West Ham will be looking for the point to guarantee survival against Europa finalists Fulham, Wigan host a Hull team who, mathematically, still have a chance to stay up. Arsenal travel to Blackburn & Portsmouth face Wolves.
 
 
Treble      Tottenham, Wigan & Man Utd - 1.25pt win - 3.24/1 Paddy Power
Double      Birmingham & Everton - 0.75pt win - 3.22/1 Paddy Power
 
Good luck
The Inside Right


 

 

FOOTBALL WEEKEND 24th April 2010 -

What a weekend it was last week at the top of the table !!! Man United score a late late winner and then Spurs blow the title race wide open...
 
Man Utd host Tottenham in the first game of the weekend, United will be hoping to claim top spot and put more pressue on Chelsea. United have a good home record vs Spurs and should just edge the win with this being one big game too many in recent weeks for the Londoners.
 
Saturdays late game see's Arsenal vs Man City, with their season as good as over & injuries mounting, Arsenal will be in for tough evening against the blue side of Manchester. With Adebayor up against his former employers & Tevez having a great season City will fancy their chances of an important win and 3 points in the battle for fourth. With so many injuries it's hard to see anything other than an away win.
 
Chelsea host Stoke on Sunday, with captain Terry suspended the Potters will be up for ruffling a few feathers at Stamford Bridge with their physical approach to the game. Although after a bad performance last time out the Londoners will still be confident with the likes of Drogba, Lampard & Malouda capable of winning the game for them.
 
Other games see Bolton vs Portsmouth, where the Trotters will hope to seal survival against the bottom placed club. Hull need a home win or they could be doomed when they face Sunderland who are finding a bit of form again at the end of the season. Burnley could sense a chance of 3 points they would not usually expect to get when they host Liverpool, who may be tired after a long trip and disappointing result mid-week in Madrid, Everton will also fancy their chances for the same reason against Fulham, who although didn't lose, will have one big eye on next weeks semi return against Hamburg....
 
This could be a weekend to get a decent return on your money.... Good Luck
 
Quad      Man Utd, Everton, Man City & Chelsea - 0.5pt Win - 8.8/1 Paddy Power
Double    Burnley & Man City - 0.5pt Win - 21/1 Paddy Power

THE INSIDE RIGHT......

 


FOOTBALL WEEKEND 17th APRIL 2010

The game of the weekend is the Manchester derby which see's United travel across the city to the blue half. With United being hit and miss in the last few weeks, Carlos Tevez will be looking to put the final nail in in his former clubs title coffin!!! If Rooney is fully fit then Man Utd will fancy their chances, but with City in good scoring form this one will be hard to call as form will count for nothing in a game that both sides have to win... Expect this to be an all action game but i fancy United to edge it with Fergie using recent woe's to raise the reds game.
 
In Saturdays late game champions elect Chelsea take the short trip to London rivals Tottenham, who will buoyed after mid-week's win against Arsenal. Spurs could well blow the title race wide open (again) after a season that has seen many unexpected results by getting a big big win in their race for fourth place...
 
In the weekends other games Birmingham winning at home should all but guarantee Hull playing Championship football next season, Arsenal travel to Wigan looking to get back to winning ways, with Van Persie fit again they should get 3 points and leave Wigan still looking nervously over their shoulders. Burnley will be hoping for another away win as they head to the Stadium of Light against Sunderland but a home win should be expected.
 
Fulham face a tough to beat Wolves team of late, with one eye on Thursdays Europa League semi expect Roy Hodgson to make changes so Wolves could get an important win at what is usually a tricky game for anyone visiting Craven Cottage. Villa travel to cup finalists Portsmouth and should get a confidence boosting win, Everton face tricky game at Blackburn and Stoke host a Bolton team still needing points to guarantee survival for another year.....
 
 
Treble     Birmingham, Arsenal & Aston Villa - 0.75pt Win Treble - 3.6/1 P Power
Double     Stoke & Wolves - 0.5pt Win - 6.2/1 P Power
 
Good luck
The Inside Right


FOOTBALL WEEKEND 10th April 2010 -

It's semi final time in the fa cup... Aston Villa will be looking to avenge their 7-1 drubbing at the hands of Chelsea 2 weekends ago, although this should be much closer. Chelsea will be confident of reaching the cup final for consecutive years after a recent return to good form and a big result last weekend in the league. Martin O'Neills team will make it hard for the Londoners but Chelsea sould return to Wembley with the likes of Drogba, Lampard & Malouda all capable of scoring late winners....
 
In the other semi it should be a bit more straight forward, Spurs will be expecting an all London affair in the end of season showpiece, with Defoe being fit again this should be a comfortable win for them, Pompey will have the spirit but that's about it....
 
The big game in the premiership is at the bottom of the table with Hull hosting Burnley. This is a massive 6 pointer and a win for Hull would almost end any hopes of survival for Burnley. This will be a closely fought game, with alot of grit & determination but not much flair, Burnley having an awful away record should be enough for a Hull win and 3 important points.
 
In the other games Man Utd will be looking to leapfrog Chelsea to take top spot, after an horrendous week which has seen them lose to rivals Chelsea, throw away a champions league semi final spot & lose Rooney to injury (again) Blackburn will fancy their chances of piling more misery on Fergie. A tricky game for United but they should finish the weekend on top in a tight game....
 
Europa league semi finalists clash as Liverpool host Fulham, with a mid-table position safe Roy Hodgson's team will be bought back down to earth on Merseyside... Man City should take advantage of Spurs being involved in a cup game & win at home against a physical Birmingham team to stake their claim for 4th place. West Ham face Sunderland at Upton Park and will be hoping they can get a much needed win against Steve Bruce's much improved team, Darren Bent is back in goals & will leave Zola biting his nails at the games tick down. Finally Wolves face Stoke, this could go either way, with Stoke being safe for another season Wolves may well nip this one at home with the need for points still a concern...
 
League Treble     Hull, Sunderland & Liverpool 0.75pt Win Treble - pays 7.1/1 with P Power
Cup Double         Chelsea & Tottenham - 2pt Win Double - pays Evens with Paddy Power

THE INSIDE RIGHT


FOOTBALL WEEKEND 3rd April 2010 - EASTER ACTION!!

Whilst the rest of us enjoy the Easter break, the premiership race at the top and bottom is now about who has the bottle to get the all important points

The first game of the weekend will see First vs. Second. Can Man United stretch their recent winning streak in the league after mid-weeks disappointing result in Munich and can they cope without top scorer Rooney Chelsea, who travel to Old Trafford, will fancy their chances of finishing Easter in pole position after their recent goal scoring run of 12 in their last 2 games, although they have injury concerns themselves with Drogba still nursing a slight groin strain and still short of regulars in their backline, expect this to be a tight game with neither team wanting to lose points to each other as the games tick down

Arsenal, who will be hoping for a draw in the early game, will try to narrow the gap with a must win home game against an in-form Wolves side. Wenger's side who have an increasing injury list with the latest causalities being Arshavin, Gallas and Fabregas may well struggle to get the home win you would normally expect them to get.

The four teams fighting for fourth place are all away in the weekends games, Villa and Man City will expect 3 points away to relegation strugglers Bolton & Burnley respectively, whilst Liverpool face a fight to get 3 points against a Birmingham side tough to beat at home, the final team Spurs travel to an inconsistent Sunderland team who can be tough to beat on their own patch.

In the final games Stoke would expect to push for a top half finish by getting a win at home to Hull, Everton will be looking to pile more misery on Gianfranco Zola & West Ham at Goodison and Wigan will be looking for points in their fight for survival against a Fulham team who entertain Wolfsburg on Thursday night prior to their visit on Sunday. With Portsmouth all but down and Blackburn having broke the magical 40 points 'safety margin' this could go either way with the pressure being off both teams

Treble          Stoke, Everton & Wigan  - 0.75pt Win pays 9.4/1 Paddy Power - no joy
Double          Man City, Villa  - 1pt Win pays 3.1/1 at Paddy Power - WINNER!!!!!

0.25pt Win five timer....pays 41.66/1 with Paddy Power.... - small loss!

Happy Easter

The Inside Right.....


CYCLING ADVICE FROM OUR EXPERT COLIN COUPON......31st March 2010

Tour of Flanders & Paris Roubaix

It's hard not to think of either race without discussing Tom Boonen and once again we find him at the head of the market for both the Belgian and French classics separated by seven days. Boonen highlighted his form in the recent Milan San Remo with a podium place beaten only by the fast finishing Oscar Freire who will be absent from Flanders on Sunday. Boonen has some solid wins already this year and has to be on any short list but if we cast our mind back to 2009 it was because of this favouritism he was marked right out of it by the Italian Filippo Pozzato with neither satisfied with the day's racing. Once again Pozzato heads into the race in good form, the Italian attacking bravely on the Poggio in last week's classic only to be reeled in close to the finish.

It's hard to look outside the top 6 or 7 in the betting for this ultimate test in one day race riding but the gaps between favourites and those further down offer some value. Last years winner, Stijn Devolder has been quietly preparing for this race and can never be discounted. Once again he's going off at double figures which surely is a mistake given he's won this the last two years running.

I would have been backing Edvald Boassen Hagen off the boards but a recent injury has meant less than ideal preparation for the event. His form has been absolutely brilliant for someone who didn't actually get that much winter training. He's won in Tirreno Adriatico and Oman and has placed in Qatar. He's a little young for this but i'd watch the betting in running with 20 kilometres to go and if he's in the mix, then I'll be having a go.

Fabian Cancellara has been preparing for this race and is joint favourite but I question his tactics overall. He had the World Championships at his mercy but somehow missed out on a medal and his results in Flanders over the years have been less than inspiring despite his win last week against Boonen and Flecha in the E3 Prijs in Flanders. I think of him as a Paris Roubaix favourite but not this weekend so I'll leave him out of my thinking.

Juan Antonio Flecha seized his chance in the Omloop and was third last week to Boonen and Cancellara so we know he's in form in Belgium. He can do enough to stay with the main guys but can find it tough to get away from them and I think it will be a similiar situation on Sunday. However a podium place is well within range and he's my idea of a good each way bet at present if it transpires that Boonen, Pozzato and Cancellara mark each other out of it. With Stijn Devloder once again waiting in the wings, I'll take the two of these as each way bankers with Boonen to follow them home.

Paris Roubaix will feature all of the above and it should come down to a contest between Cancellara and Boonen with the likes of Thor Hushovd providing the background entertainment of what is normally a calamitous race of crashes and punctures. I think Boonen has enough to win this as he normally recovers well enough throughout the week after Flanders and is on top form for Roubaix. He may be 7/2 favourite but we'll get a decent race out of him. Cancellara will run him close and Pozzato, Hushovd and Martijn Maaskant can make up the placings.

Bet -Tour of Flanders

0.5pt e/w - Stijn Devolder 25/1 BLUESquare and 888 Sport  (3 places 1/5 odds) - no luck....
0.5pt e/w - Juan Antonio Flecha 18/1 Paddy Power ( 3 places 1/4 odds ) - no luck...

BET - Paris Roubaix

Tom Boonen - 1.5pt Win 11/4 best price

Thor Hushovd - 0.5pt e/w 14/1 3 places 1/4 odds

ENJOY THE ACTION....CC ( will update the Roubaix market as soon as priced up! )




Weekend Footy - 26th March

Arsenal take a trip to St Andrews on the run of 6 sucessive wins to take on a Birmingham team that seems to have lost it's momentum having lost their last 2, although they can still boast not having lost at home since September. With 2 ageing centre backs in Campbell & Silvestre likely to play in the abscence of the suspended Vermaelen expect this to be tricky for Arsenal, although they should come away with 3 points with the knack of scoring late goals....
 
Chelsea face Aston Villa with both teams needing a win, with the teams having potential injury concerns in defence there could be a few goals in a game you normally may not expect to see too many. With no champions league game in the week Chelsea won't be distracted & will make it a home win.
 
Manchester Utd could be 3rd by the time they kick off in the late game on Saturday away to Bolton, with Fergie claiming Rooney is not an injury concern, United with a few changes to their starting 11 to take 3 points against a side with a much improved home form & to have a chance of a record breaking 19th league title.
 
In other games Spurs will win at home to Portsmouth, expect a Liverpool win with Torres's finishing being the difference against an improving Sunderland and in Monday nights clash Man City will expect to get back on track in the battle for 4th against Wigan.
 
Treble      Liverpool, Man Utd & Chelsea - 1pt - 2.63/1 P Power - WINNER!!!!!
 
Double     Spurs & Man City - 1pt - 1.63/1-  P Power - WINNER!!!!!!!!

Five Timer - 0.5pt Win - 4.38/1 P Power - WINNER!!!!! - a bumper weekend for the INSIDE RIGHT!

The Inside Right....

 


 

Midweek Football - 23rd/24th March

Spurs and Fulham go again in the only replay from the quarter finals and with Portsmouth awaiting the winners in the semi, both London teams will fancy their chances of reaching the FA Cup Final. With an injury list that's starting to grow as a long season takes it toll, Tottenham will fancy their chances of progression with home advantage.... Spurs should advance to the semi with Fulham's poor away domestic form costing them.

The Premier League plays catch-up with West Ham vs Wolves on Tuesday with both teams currently lying in the two positions above the relegation zone, neither team will want to lose so expect a bore draw or West Ham to shade it and go above the visitors...

In the other games Villa need maximum points, with fourth still up for grabs, against Sunderland ahead of the weekends trip to Stamford Bridge, with Carew scoring goals again and Agbonlahor now fit the Villans should ease to victory.... After an important win on Sunday Man City are at home to a strong Everton and will be looking to leapfrog Spurs into fourth, with Tevez always a threat and Adebayor returning from suspension Citys firepower will leave the blue side of Manchester dreaming of Champions League football next season... After a bad week Carlo Ancelotti and Chelsea need and should take maximum points against Portsmouth, and in the remaining game expect it to be tight between Blackburn vs Birmingham

Draw Double - B'Burn/B'ham & West Ham/Wolves - 0.5pt pays 11.6/1 with PPower

Treble - Villa, Spurs & Chelsea - 1pt pays 2.31 / 1 with PPower

Good luck

THE INSIDE RIGHT



Weekend Action 20th March 2010 -

After both having good results in their last league games, Man Utd host Liverpool in the weekends stand out fixture, with Torres fit and amongst the goals, along with Berbatov and Nani now producing on a more regular basis supporting the on-fire Rooney, expect this to be an entertaining but close game, with Man Utd edging it with more match winners in the their squad ...

In the weekends other games Arsenal should have too much at home for an erratic West Ham side who, although are capable of producing on their day, won't end their current run of bad form here. Fulham entertain Man City at Craven Cottage following Juventus in the Europa League on Thursday and numerous games in recent weeks Man City will have the freshness to seal some important points in the race for 4th !!!

The two basement battles of the weekend see Wigan vs Burnley and Portsmouth vs Hull, I can see Wigan beating Burnley who's away form has been poor this season and the latter fixture both teams needing points to close the gap on the teams above them ending in a draw.

Everton at home to Bolton should be enough for a comfortable home win, although the Trotters are hitting a bit of form with three wins in their last four games and Stoke vs Tottenham should be close but i can see the Londoners taking the three points..... Just, with the strikeforce of Defoe and Pavlychenko in good form. After Tuesday's loss to Inter in the Champions league expect Chelsea to take it out on Blackburn and with Drogba making up for his red card misery....


Quad - Man Utd, Arsenal, Wigan & Everton - 1pt @ 4.86/1 with PPower - WINNER!!!!!!!!!
Treble - Chelsea, Tottenham & Man City - 1pt @ 6.5/1 with PPower - One result away....shame

Good luck

The Inside Right




WEEKEND FOOTBALL - 19th Dec 2009

It was only 12 months back when Phil Brown brought his charges to the new Emirates stadium and beat the young Gunners and fate has once again dealt him a decent hand for tomorrow's clash with Cesc Fabregas out with a hamstring strain. Brown has has a week to galvanise his team and even though they are massive under-dogs tomorrow I expect them to give the Gunners a fight similiar to Burnley's mid-week exploits. It's too good an opportunity to pass up and so I'm going to back the draw tomorrow

Wolves rested 10 players midweek and the return of a more familiar line-up may prove too much for Burnley in what is already being deemed a 6 point game not even half way through the season. McCarthy has eyed this fixture from a long way out and I fully expect them to capitalize after a slick display against Spus last week. If that form holds I think Wolves should see this through comfortably

Blackburn is a no goal haven and despite the attacking flair of Spurs, they can be hit and miss. If the mid-week exertions haven't taken their toll they could be firm favourites but I think this game will be physical which will not suit the light-weight Spurs attack. Back Blackburn for a result with a draw the likely outcome

Weekend Treble .25 pt
3 singles @ .75 pt

Arsenal/Hull -Draw 6/1
Wolves Win 11/10
Blackburn/Spurs Draw 12/5

CC.............


MIDWEEK FOOTBALL 14th Dec 2009 -

Birmingham are in the form of their life yet the bookies still tag them as Championship material. Offering generous odds for even their home matches which has fast become a fortress is foolhardy at best as they are well up to winning these type of matches. I backed them at the weekend at Evens which was well worth the punt and now again they are available at best price 13/10 (Victor Chandlers). Why oppose a team on a run?

Sunderland were very unlucky to concede late in the game against Portsmouth and a confident Villa will once again test their depleted defence to the core. However there was a lot to like about the home side's performance and I fancy them to do a little better than Manchester United did at home to the visitors at the weekend. That said, Martin O Neill will look to preserve his third place and Villa will be up for this game so a draw is a very likely outcome at just under 5/2 in most places.

My final bet this evening is Bolton at home who showed their battling qualities at the weekend against the serial "draw" artists Man City. Bolton could have won this game and I think the form of Cahill and Klasnic will be enough to get them over the finish line in front tonight. Kevin Davies is a big player for them and West Ham's beleaguered defence will do well do contain the big man.

My midweek treble is backable just over 14/1 - 1pt WIN

CC


Weekend Football 11th December 2009 -

Birmingham have been in flying form of late and with West Ham short on options up front it's hard to see where a goal will come to trouble the home side. Lee Bowyer has been in form of late in a deeper midfield role and has scored in each of his last two games. Sebastian Larsson looks a threat from free kicks whilst the Birmingham defence is quite solid. I'll take Birmingham to beat West Ham.

Manchester United's defence is in tatters with so many injuries forcing midfielders into defensive duties. However their attacking threat is there for all to see and goals have been plentiful of late. Rooney should shake off a strain and return up front whilst Giggs and Valencia are in flying form. However, the Villa defence looks a little better recently and with the attacking options at O' Neill's disposal I think we could have a quite closely match game here and I'm expecting a result for Villa. I'll take the draw.

Wigan away from home is dangerous proposition and Stoke have a mean home record. However Stoke have not been playing well of late whilst Wigan have come on from their drubbing at the hands of Spurs. I'll take the draw here also.

Jermaine Defoe may have a few early Xmas presents when Wolves come to town and such is his form I cannot help but think he might bag himself a brace or more. Odds have shortened but I'll still take it on

Draw Double - United/Villa & Stoke/Wigan 12/1 - .5pt

Birmingham win - Evens - 1 point

Defoe Hat-trick - 14/1 - .5 point

 

CC



Weekend Football 5th December 2009 -

1pt Win Treble -

Wolves, Tottenham and Liverpool

7/5 - 6/4 and 3/4

Good luck...

TJ


WEEKEND FOOTBALL 20th November 2009 -

We're back after the international break and have some lively fixtures to look forward to. Given the return of many players bloodied and bruised it might pay to look at the minnows of the league. I like the look of Burnley at home to Villa in particular. Burnley  have been far from disgraced since their elevation to the Premiership and I expect a solid display after their break for the past two weeks. They will be seeking their third game unbeaten in a row and with some stout defending may have the measure of a hit and miss Villa side who do not travel kindly. Villa can't keep a clean sheet and with many of their players returning from midweek duty, I'll take Burnely as my first bet of the weekend with a marginal win.

My only other bet is a sure win for Harry Redknapp's team Tottenham Hotspurs who should have more than enough to see off Wigan Athletic. Wigan can look brilliant at home but travelling is not their strong suit. Although the contest should be a marvellous spectacle as both teams seek to play football on the ground, I'll take the combined forces of Defoe and Keane to
slice up the away defence.

Football Double - Burnley & Spurs 1 point ( 5/2 and 1/2 )

Anytime Scorer Defoe to score in 90 mins - 1 point 11/10

Colin Coupon....




WEEKEND FOOTBALL 7th Nov 2009 -

Tottenham welcome back Jermain Defoe after a three game ban and will be hopeful of a home win after a crushing defeat at the hands of Arsenal last weekend. The gap between the top four and Spurs was there for all to see bar Robbie Keane who insisted before kick off, there was nothing between the teams. However I expect them to get back to winning ways against Sunderland who although quite strong in recent weeks may come up short against the pace and power of the Spurs front line.

Wigan will ring the changes for their clash against Fulham at home, according to sources where they are a different team to play against. Fulham for all their plaudits did not need to be great against Liverpool last week and their away record is once again far from average. With the like of Rodalegga on form, I expect Wigan to bounce back with a comfortable win.

Man City welcome back Kolo Toure and Adebayor and these re-enforcements in defence and attack should be too much for Burnley. On the back of three consecutive draws, City will be keen to bang a few in and I'm taking them in the handicap.

Treble - 1pt

Spurs, Wigan & Man City(-1)

6/1 Ladbrokes

CC.................



FRIDAY 30th October 2009 -

Portsmouth, Aston Villa & Stoke & QPR tonight

QPR in fine form with brilliant away win. A win tonight brings them into the promotion places. At 5/6 and Even money in places they are a firm bet.

Everton and Villa served up a thriller last year in this corresponding fixture. Villa have taken goals early in games but have been unable to sustain leads. Everton have been giving away stupid goals but have had Saha to thank for getting them back in games. If Saha is out as expected, I 'll take Villa to record an away win

Stoke are very strong at home and new boys Wolves will have it all to do. Beattie is on form and Stoke's direct game should be enough to battle past the away team.

Porstmouth are still waiting for a win but have not leaked goals at home in their last two encounters. Wigan travel with Roadallega on form but I've a feeling this weekend could just be Pompey's after a deserved goal fest mid week in the Carling Cup

Stoke & Postmouth Double (5/6 & 11/8) - 1pt

QPR, Stoke & Portsmouth Treble (5/6, 5/6, 11/8) - 1pt

Villa away Win 13/8 - 1pt

CC


WEEKEND ACTION 24th October 2009 -

I can't get away from tipping Sunderland who should travel to Birmingham with the confidence of a team leading the League. Fantastic displays against Liverpool and United will place them in good stead and with Bent on fire I cannot see anything other than a win. Birmingham have been concending more goals of late and will find it tough to contain Bent and Jones (if fit). The price is tasty too and will be part of my double this weekend with Arsenal

Arsene Wenger's men play free flowing beautiful football and it is hard to see how West Ham will contain them even though at home. Fabregas conducts his orchestra like a maestro and with Van Persie and Vermaelen in top form, this should be comfortable for the Gunners.

Double Sunderland & Arsenal pays just over 5/2 - 1 point - no joy

In the Championship some of the less fancied teams are showing cracking form. Notts Forest had a big win against Newcastle last week and followed it up with a deserved win against fellow form team Barnsley. It's the latter team I'm placing in my coupon this weekend as the loss to Forest seemed only a minor blip for Mark Robin's men.

QPR travel to Derby on the back of some good results and will hope to move further towards the play-off places with a win. If you remember I advised backing this team as a playoff hopeful back in August and it is now that they are beginning to show some quite decent form. Freescoring wins against Reading and Preston will have built confidence and I fancy them to bring that form to Derby even if their last away win was back against Cardiff in early September.

Double pays QPR & Barnsley - 5/1 - 1 point - shame Barnsley let us down

My third bet is a goalscoring treble of Didier Drogba, Darren Bent and Cesc Fabregas who is in fine form. Chelsea are home to Balackburn who will give a tough battle but Drogba always seems to get on the scoresheet. Darren Bent has scored ineach of his last 5 games and Fabregas is showing the kind of form of two years ago and should come up with the goods once again.

Anytime goalscorer treble pays just under 11/1 - 1 point - poor bet

Best of luck

CC.........................................


WEEKEND ACTION 16th OCTOBER 2009 -

Liverpool return from the international break without midfielder Steven Gerrard and star striker Fernando Torres. Fridays morning price for Sunderland of 7/2 was generous but now it's practically a steal. Despite the loss of their pivotal players, Sunderland were value for a win at home with Liverpool's form at best patchy whilst Sunderland at home have been consistent, coupled with some brilliant displays in recent weeks against top teams such as United. I'm sticking with my instinct and backing Sunderland to maintain their impressive record at home this season

Stoke are fantastic at home and West Ham are not good away. Enough said. Stoke win at 15/13 is on the cards. No goal scorer of note in the West Ham squad and although they will give a decent account of themselves, I expect the likes of Tuncay and Fuller to make this game safe.

Newcastle play away to Notts Forest this weekend in the evening kick off and despite not playing with much confidence in their last two games, should have the measure of this very weak team. Forest have lost three times at home this season but have picked up a little in recent weeks. In another hard fought game I expect it to be decided with a single goal and the quality in Newcastle's team makes me side with them.

Millwall are unbeaten in three but their away record is dismal. Stockport are no great shakes in defense but they can score goals and 2/1 at home is far too big a price and I will take that gladly.

Double - 1 point each

Sunderland 7/2 & Stoke 15/13 - WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Great payout for us....

Newcastle 6/4 & Stockport 2/1 - no luck

Treble - 1 point

Stockport, Sunderland & Stoke - poor effort from Stockport!

4 timer - 1 point

Stockport, Sunderland, Newcastle & Stoke - no luck

HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND - CC....


WEEKEND ACTION 3rd October 2009 -

CC continues to sun himself in Bognor Regis it's left to the Judge to ruin his column...so here goes! I'll only play with last weeks winnings...!

Home Win Treble - Chelsea 15/13, West Ham 5/4 and Everton 3/5 - 0.75pt Win - no joy

Draw Treble - Burnley v Bolton 13/5, Hull v Wigan 12/5 and Wolves v Portsmouth 12/5 - 0.5pt Win - no joy

Championship Four Timer - Cardiff 6/4, Swansea 8/5, Sheff Utd 4/6 and Derby 6/4 - 0.5pt Win - let down by the shortest odd's punt...ouch

TJ


WEEKEND ACTION 26th Sep -

The Judge has stepped in for CC today so tread careful!

Advice -

Anytime Scorer Treble - Crouch 13/10, Cahill 12/5 and Ireland 13/5 all with PPower 0.5pt treble - nothing doing!

Draw Double - Fulham v Arsenal and Blackburn v Aston Villa - 3/1 and 12/5 - 0.5pt Double - no luck

Win Four Timer - Spurs 4/11, Man U 2/5, Everton 18/19 and Sunderland 3/4 - 0.5pt Acca - WINNER, comfortable wins for our selections, nice pick up

Good luck

TJ


WEEKEND ACTION 19th Sep 2009 -

Teams returning from the Champions League do not have it easy this weekend with a Manchester and London Derby for United and Chelsea. Liverpool travel to Upton Park to face West Ham and Arsenal seem the safest out of the big guns to record a win this weekend. Maybe it's best to look at the other games.

I liked the look of Sunderland last week when hammering Hull City and they face similiar opposition in Burnley. Even though the newly promoted side are at home and have pushed some bigger teams to the brink, I think there's a certain swagger about Steve Bruce's side. I feel they might have the upperhand once again this weekend. Darren Bent benefits from the work rate of Kenwynne Jones and will be good for a goal or two. Andy Reid looked on fire last weekend and should earn an Ireland recall with such displays.

Everton received a much needed boost in confidence on Thursday with goals flying at home in th UEFA Cup. The defensive partnership of Yobo and Distin are beginning to gel and even though they are missing playmaker Mikel Arteta, I think there is enough quality to win games at home. The return of Yakubu could be a huge boost to this side and I think they will comfortably take Blackburn this weekend.

Despite their mid-week medicore performance, my third and final selection is Liverpool away to West Ham. Although they have proved a bogey team to the Reds in the past, Liverpool have far too muich quality to let another game slip. Zola has a few team issues and Liverpool will look to exploit them to the full. Torres hasn't been on the score-sheet now in his last two games so will be extra fired up and the return of Yossi Benayoun will surely add another dimension to this game.

Weekend Treble

Sunderland, Everton & Liverpool
1 point @ 6/1 - no joy

CC........



WEEKEND ACTION 12th September 2009 -

Betting on internationals has never been my thing so I steered well clear last weekend and mid-week. However some injury concerns for teams tomorrow with Arsenal's Arshavin out for three weeks as well as injuries to Tevez and Robinhio.

But it's to the Stadium of Light I'll go first and Steve Bruce has a wicked team at his disposal having spent a few pounds on defenders in the transfer market. Hull City are the vistors and I cannot see Phil Brown leaving with anything but the tail between his fake-tan legs. Kenwynne Jones looks the man to follow and I can see him getting a brace against this most disorganised of defences whilst Darren Bent could make the score sheet in what I see as a one sided game. Sunderland are my first pick with Jones to score.

The big match tomorrow is at White Hart Lane where Spurs host Man United who will have been buoyed by the news of the return of Rio Ferdinand. I would like to pick Spurs purely on the form they've shown to date but beating United anywhere is no easy feat and with the return or one of the best defenders in the league, I cannot see past a draw at best for the home side. However I'm going with United on the basis that they'll always score a goal or two and with the defence taking on a more solid look, Defoe and Keane may not have the fire-power they enjoy(ed) against mid table teams (like Liverpool....!).

My final pick tomorrow is Chelsea who have been by far the most impressive of the teams in the first few games. Players such as Drogba, Lampard and Ballack are world class and Stoke are just not in the same category. Drogba in particular has been on fire and tomorrow should be rich pickings for at least a goal. As part of my goal-scorers treble, Drogba look a sure bet.

Liverpool should prove too much for Burnley tomorrow and it is without drawing breath I include Fernando Torres in my goal-scoring treble. There could be a good few goals in this match if comparisons can be made to Chelsea's hammering of Burnley back a little while ago.

Bets

Treble
1 point - Return 13.67

Man Utd (13/10)
Chelsea H/cap -1 (11/10)
& Sunderland H/cap -1 (21/10)

2 points - Return 20.54 - no good

Goalscorer Treble - Torres (5/6) , Drogba (evs) & Jones (9/5) - no good

PS Hope everyone got on Cadel Evans who currently lies second in the Vuelta and of course we have to mention Michael Chopra who currently leads the Championship scoring table with 7 goals, three clear of the rest. Nicely backed at 14/1 each.....

CC....



WEEKEND ACTION 28th August 2009 -

Three days left in the transfer window and some deals have been completed that have influenced my thinking on the weekend's Premiership matches. Aston Villa look to shore up their defence with the signing of Stephen Warnock and are very close to signing Ireland's captain Richard Dunne. With the recent retirement of Martin Laursen, Villa have needed experience in the centre back areas and Dunne would be a fantastic signing. Fulham travel to Villa Park on Sunday and hopefully the new signings will be on show. Villa looked very dogged on Monday last and the result will have given them a much needed confidence boost ahead of this fixture. However they were surprisingly dumped out of the Europa League despite winning on the night and Martin O' Neill will ensure that a win is a must in this next game. Fulham have had to travel far for their European game and I fancy they will not be the same resolute team as at Craven cottage. I fancy Villa to kick on with their season and earn a comfortable win.

Whilst Warnock left Blackburn for Villa, Pascal Chimbonda arrived at Blackburn's Ewood Park from Spurs. Rovers host a confident West Ham side fresh from the exploits of Tuesday night's clash against their local rivals Millwall. Whilst the disturbances must have affected the players some way, the manner of their play thus far has been inspiring and I felt they were unlucky to lose to a very good Spurs outfit. West HAm play a nice brand of football and I'm not sure Rovers have the necessary goods to defend against them. In what could be a tight contest, West Ham look set to continue their great start and record an away victory.

New boys Wolves welcome record signing Kevin Doyle back from injury at home to Hull City who look to improve on their home win to Bolton last weekend. Hull's attacking threat comes down the flanks in the form of Stephen Hunt but their key marksman Ebank Blake is still injured. In what should be a close encounter, Mick McCarthy will treat this game a six pointer and I fancy the home side to keep Hull at bay following on from their impressive win against Wigan last weekend.

Weekend Treble - .5 point

West Ham, Wolves & Aston Villa - 12/1  - no joy here...

Two likely ties this weekend come in the shape of Man Utd home to Arsenal and Stoke home to Sunderland. United have Vidic back which is a massive bonus against the attacking threat of Arsenal who rate Cesc Fabregas as only 50-50. Without the little Spaniard I think Arsenal will be a little muted whilst I'm not convinced yet of the United midfield. In what could be a drab game I'm sticking to a very low scoring draw.

Stoke can defend well but seem to have difficulty scoring. However there is a doubt about Shawcross which means Robert Huth may make his debut. Stoke play well at home and Sunderland may just find it a little beyond them to win. They have inform strikers in the shape of Bent and Jones who may get their chances so I'm taking this to be another nervy draw.

Weekend Double - .5 point Double

Man Utd/Arsenal & Stoke/Sunderland draws - just under 12/1...... - no joy

Treble - To Score in 90 mins - 1 point @ 8/1 - close but no cigar...

Chopra (Cardiff City)
Torres (Liverpool)
Drogba (Chelsea)

CC...............




PREMIER LEAGUE  - Update 27th August 2009 -

This may seem like a ridiculous bet following the inadequacies shown last Monday night against Aston Villa but Liverpool's odds on winning the Premiership are now available at 9/1, a price which would have resulted in several amputated arms around bookmakers had this been available two weeks ago. Yes they let three goals in on Monday but one was a little unfortunate deflection, one was a badly timed challenge and the other was slack concentration just before the break. One could easily have said that Liverpool could have won the game eight nil if they had have scored first given the attacking, pressing play with the number of chances missed against a resolute Villa defence, sometimes with all 11 behind the ball.

It's the start of the season and Liverpool are taking their time to gel but to say that they have lost the Title this early is madness. Liverpool lost two games all of last year but had an astonishing 12 draws which effectively cost them the title. Pointing out the obvious but even if they had lost 5 games but won the other 9, then they would have coasted to the one title which has eluded them. If we cast our mind back to games against Arsenal, Real Madrid (over two legs) United and Chelsea (home and away) then it seems ridiculous to suggest this team does not have what it takes to win this year. Yes they are a few points behind but all teams will drop points and if Liverpool can play with the ferocity they showed in the final three months of last season, whilst maintaining their consistency against the bigger teams, then I think 9/1 is the best bet this season by far.

Liverpool to win the Premiership

1 point each way (places 1-2) 9/1

CC............



CYCLING - Tour of Spain, starts 29th August 2009

The Vuelta de Espana or Tour of Spain commences Saturday with a likely favourite in Alejandro Valverde of the Caisse D'pargne. Valverde was not allowed race in the Tour De France and will be highly motivated to prove a point. With the likes of Alberto Contador and Lance Armstrong absent there are still notable inclusions such as the Schleck brothers, Cadel Evans and young Robert Gesink who was unfortunate to suffer injury in the Tour.

The Vuelta is a tough Tour but not anywhere as tough as the Tours of France and Italy. Whilst it has favoured climbers in the past, one day specialists like our own Sean Kelly have won proving that one does not need to be a mountain goat to win this event. Bookmakers have taken note and avoided making either of the Schleck's favourite, possibly bearing in mind the fact that there are three time trials in the event.

Valverde's lay off over the month of July will have both given him incentive and time to train specifically for this race. He is a particularly good one week stage rider but has been found wanting over further. That is why I would like to take him on for Overall Victory.

Looking at the opposition, riders such as Cadel Evans who had such a disasterous Tour would not be entering unless feeling up to the challenge and he is a very interesting entry. The Schleck's could dominate again in the mountains. Andy's time trialling has come on no end and he could destroy the opposition so much that the time gaps lost in the tests may not be so significant. Franck improved with every day of the Tour de France following injury earlier in the season. Ivan Basso promised so much earlier in the year but couldn't prove himself in Italy whilst Andreas Kloden rode brilliantly but faded in France. So it is quite a more open affair than the bookmakers would have us believe.

Of the home contenders Samuel Sanchez is a fine rider both in the mountains and in the time trial tests and cannot be dismissed lightly. However I think he may not have much support in the form of able team mates and so I am going to avoid him this time around.

I think Cadel Evans is the man to beat with time trials to suit and redemption in the form of a Grand Tour win a real possibility. His main danger I feel is Samuel Sanchez who has bypassed all other tours and thrown his "huevos" into one basket in trying to win his home Tour. If Sammy is on fire in the mountains the race could be decided earlier than expected but the tenacity of the Australian and his ability to see out a Grand Tour will surely be to his advantage is what has been a difficult season. Best of the rest may well be Andy Schleck.


Of the other categories I think Saxo Bank stand out in the Team Event and are priced at 3/1 which is far too high for a team with great climbers and great time trialists.

The Points jersey for Best sprinter does not have a stand out contender and I would avoid it whilst the King of the Mountains could go any which way but preference is for Robert Gesink the former mountain biker.

Bets
Overall Winner .5 point each way
Cadel Evans 14/1 Paddy Power

Team Classification 1 point win
Saxo Bank 3/1

King of the Mountains .5 point each way
Robert Gesink 8/1

CC.....

 


 

WEEKEND FOOTBALL - 21st August 2009 -

Arsenal kick off their home campaign against ragged Portsmouth and a victory looks as near a guarantee this weekend. Fabregas was on fire in that 6-1 drubbing and with him motoring it seems inevitable that there will be a plethora of goals at the Emirates tomorrow. I'm taking the Gunners at their handicap mark -2 and am safely satisfied that Fabregas might just get in on the action himself.

1 point Fabregas anytime goalscorer 13/5 Paddy Power - poor lad is injured during game
1 point Arsenal Handicap -2 6/4 - WINNER....

Having watched both Birmingham's matches in the past week I am finding it hard to see how they are going to score goals. On the other hand they have a solid defence and I can't see them shipping too many, at home especially. Stoke travel to St Andrews with a win and a heavy loss under their belts but will see this as one of the games where they must get a result. A nervous boring game looks on the cards so I'm going to take the draw here given the form on show to date.

1 point 23/10 - WINNER....

My final bet is a little treble of away gems (I hope!). Spuirs travel to their neighbours West Ham and are best priced 11/8 to record their third win of the season. They've been fantastic to watch and the goals are flowing but this derby game could be tight. However Defoe is on fire and could make the difference returning to his old patch so it's Spurs for me.

Bolton were very ordinary last week but they have a good team capable of remaining in the Premiership. The same cannot be said about Hull who looked truly amateurish mid week and look like a team in free fall. In the most dire of Saturday matches I'm taking the 2/1 about Bolton with the likes of Matt Taylor and Elmander popping up to provide the goals.

Burnely must quickly get their feet back on the ground against Everton on Sunday after their brilliant win on Wednesday. However the match showed inadequacies at this level and had United taken any of their early chances I think the flood gates would have opened and goals flowed freely in. I'm not sure they have another performance like that in them in a week and David Moyes is nailed on to make them pay. Everton have quality in depth and surely will take this. Best price is 5/4.

1 point Treble Spurs, Bolton & Everton 15/1 - no joy...


CC...........


MIDWEEK FOOTBALL - Weds 19th August 2009

Hull represent great value at home to a Spurs team without talisman Ledley King, England's Jonathon Woodgate or Michael Dawson. The home side could be counted as very unlucky away at Chelsea on Saturday and if we cast our mind a year back, it was Hull nearer the top with Spurs languishing at the very bottom of the table. However the bookmakers think the new Spurs side under Harry Redknapp is value at Even money with Hull trading at 7/2 and I have to take them on at those prices. Phil Brown will have learned a lot from last season's end of year debacle but if Saturday is anything to go by, he may have re-gained the confidence of the dressing-room and I feel his home form will carry this team through this year. Hull may welcome back Geovanni tonight which offers a creative outlet rather than the counter attacking against Chelsea and while I think it will be a close game I'm going to go with Hull to nick it by a single goal.

Liverpool looked at sixes and sevens for most of Sunday's match against Spurs but a return to Anfield may liven up this team. The absence of a recognised playmaker in central midfield was in evidence as Gerrard dropped deeper and deeper as the game progressed. The introduction of Yossi Benayoun offered a little ray of hope and surely he will be recalled to the starting line up in place of the mis-fit Ryan Babel whose days at the club must surely be numbered. Benayoun had a unique scoring to appearance record towards the back end of last year and going on the evidence of his cameo role on Sunday, he will be highly instrumental in any sort of Liverpool win. With that in mind I'm taking him to score in 90 minutes.

Birmingham had a pretty mean defence in the Championship last year as could be seen on Saturday against United. Goals against them will be pretty hard to come by especially when playing at St Andrews. That said, goals may come at a premium for this promoted side but where better than to start against a Portsmouth side on the brink of collapse. Birmingham need to win their home games and the pacey Cameron Jerome and Garry O Connor will need to take their chances. Tonight could be their night so I'm taking the home side to win in a somewhat edgy affair.

Bets - One point each

Hull to beat Spurs 7/2 Betfair - no good

Yossi Benayoun - Score in 90 minutes 16/5 Paddy Power - unlucky

Birmingham to beat Portsmouth 11/10 Ladbrokes - WINNER

CC....


MIDWEEK FOOTBALL - Tues 18th August 2009 -

Much to be learned from the weekend and I'm thanking my lucky stars bets were kept to a minimum.

Wigan looked controlled and a really good side against Aston Villa on Saturday and must have a good squeak of turning over injury hit Wolves tonight at home. With Ebanks Blake out for the away team it looks like a tall order to take anything from the game and odds that they could are duly enhanced.

The home team might just bring a bit of Latin flair and in-form Jason Koumas and striker Hugo Rodalegga look in fine form. One worry is the injury to Charles Nzogbia who played really well on Saturday but even so it is a fixture I'm gonna take on with a stand out bet in Hugo Rodalegga to score anytime with Paddy Power at twos.

Chelsea might appear a little lucky to have found a winner in injury time against Hull but the fact is they still won a tricky opening game. Ancellotti might bring Ballack back in tonight which should offer a little more creativity from the defensive set up on Saturday in the form of Mikel and Essien. Lampard looks nailed on to benefit in the scoring ranks from his position and I fancy Chelsea to win tonight despite the host's great start away on Saturday at Bolton.

Steed Malbranque is a doubt which diminishes midfield mobility and creativity for Sunderland and he will be sorely missed. His awareness of space had the Bolton defence is tatters at the weekend and while tonight is no doubt a sterner test, Darren Bent might be chasing a lot of shadows without him. I'm taking a Chelsea win well here and a clean sheet in the process with Lampard to score in 90 minutes

Bets 1 point each

Hugo Rodalegga to score anytime 2/1 Paddy Power - no joy

Frank Lampard to score anytime 9/4 Coral - WINNER!

Chelsea to win -1 H/ Cap 6/4 PP - WINNER!

CC...




PREMIER LEAGUE KICK OFF - 14th August 2009

As if you didn't know, it's the start of the Premiership this weekend and a return to our old haunting ground for value bets in this most competitve of arenas.

Man City have spent big bucks bringing in strikers and Gareth Barry but still have the same old defense. Could they be relied upon to take anything from their first away fixture this season? I'm sure a visit to Sam Allardyce's Blackburn will put the fear up many of the foreign players with media reporting that "lumps" will be kicked out of them and so it is a fixture I will watch carefully before making an assessment on their season ahead.

This weekend I'm taking this game as a draw at 23/10

Everton have some quality players and it is quite easy to forget that when all talk has been of Joleon Lescott. Arsenal travel to one of the best defended grounds in the country hoping that their Premiership starts with a result but I cannot see them winning away from home and so I'm going with a draw again on this one.

Bolton have been unbeaten in pre-season albeit against Scottish and lower league German opposition. Sunderland have signed Darren Bent and he will be hoping to open his account although again Bolton are always a well oiled defensive unit. I think Bolton's more attacking players like Matt Taylor and Elmander can take this game by the scruff of the neck and open their season with a comfortable win.

Of the newbies, Burnley look to have it all to do against Stoke who finished the season so strongly. However Stoke didn't start so brightly last year so it's a game to watch rather than to bet on.

Wolves could be without three of their first team including Kevin Doyle and West Ham could escape from Molineux with at least a draw and Birmingham face the unenviable task of travelling to Old Trafford for their first game and cannot be expected to take anything.

Fernando Torres is my pick for Golden Boot and should he stay fit then there is no reason why he cannot win this easily.

Down the divisions, Gillingham look a team to follow after a fantastic 5-0 thrashing of Swindon, while Hartlepool have had two good results against MK Dons and Championship team Coventry which should put them in a confident mood. Jeff Stelling's team could be a good bet this week at 2/1 home to Charlton

Bets


1 point
Fernando Torres - 4/1 Top Goalscorer

.5 point Win Double
West Ham 9/5 & Bolton 13/10

.5 point Draw Double
Blackburn v Man City - 23/10
and
Everton v Arsenal - 9/4

.5 point Win Double
Gillingham 11/5 & Hartlepool 2/1

CC.....


Sadly no joy from our treble - nice start for Chopra though as he is now 11/2 Favourite for the golden boot odds in the division...slight over reaction perhaps but good start all the same!!!


8th August  - THE FOOTBALL SEASON IS BACK!!!!!!!!!!

Greetings to all who didn't follow me and my cycling tips this summer but most will remember our successful campaign last season tipping across the divisions. Let's hope for better things in the upcoming football season.

I'll start the season with a sure fire treble with decent odds namely Sheffield Wednesday, Cardiff and QPR. Sheffield are home to Barnsley, a team very lucky to have stayed up last year and have done nothing to alter the situation over the summer months with only one transfer completed at time of writing. Sheffield played well against their neighbours in Sheffield United in both Derby matches and should have the edge in this fixture. The Even money in many bookmakers is a very good price.

Cardiff have a strikeforce par excellence for the season ahead with Michael Chopra returning to more familiar stomping grounds and I expect him to have a good season. Cardiff played well in parts and could be counted on to deliver at home in some of the sterner tests. Scunthorpe did well to get promoted and I fancy their chances in home fixtures but Ninian Park is a tough place to go so don't expect fireworks this weekend.

With the money coming from Flavio Briatore and a couple of decent signings over the summer, QPR may well prove a team to follow this season. Jim Magilton knows how to win in the Championship and will be up for this given his dismissal at Ipswich and this team has enough good players to make a flying start to the season. An outside bet for a promotion place?

Tips

Michael Chopra - Highest Goalscorer 1 point @ 16/1 Ladbrokes

QPR to get promoted - 1 point @ 6/1 Ladbrokes

Cardiff & Sheffield Wednesday & QPR Treble

1.5 points @ 9/2 Paddy Power

Colin Coupon...


Tour De France - Wrap Up!!

So nearly a cracking return for us with Mountains winner, Overall winner and cruelly robbed by the authorities on the Green Jersey. Finishing up level for the Tour given the funny results and interference is not too bad a result - Winners at 20/1, 12/1 e/w, 6/4, 11/10 meant we more than had the head above water.

Colin Coupon will be back for the Football season which gets underway in a matter of days.......


TOUR DE FRANCE TIME TRIAL - 22nd July 2009

Apologies for a break in the coverage....!

Some very fancy prices about this morning!

The destination of the minor placings will be played out today but there is probably no doubting that Alberto Contador will now win the Tour De France. However going into today's time trial second down to sixth is wide open and the 25 mile course will suit some more than others.

After looking back over the time trials this year there haven't been many surprises in the winners. Cancellara won the prologue of this year's Tour but also blew the opposition away in Switzerland so is a worthy favourite. Bert Grabsch is trading at a respectable 14/1 to follow up on his Dauphine Time Trial win and surely he will not be out of the top three today? However there are other really strong candidates to look at for those three placings.

In my mind it's tailor made for Fabian Cancellara to win today but once again the bookies give no leniency with cyclists and the Swiss star trades at around 4/7. In my mind he's worth that price but not a whole lot of money will be made on backing him.

Of the Overall Contenders Lance Armstrong seems to be in top form if just a little short of the form of the likes of Contador and the Schlecks in the mountains. However he should find the course today more to his liking. Bradley Wiggins is a time trial specialist and has shown us how much in form he is with his displays up to yesterday's stage. Will he have recovered in time to do a good test ? Vincenzo Nibali is in cracking form and this boy can time trial too. It's a pity most bookies pay only on the top three because I feel he is a top five contender and is available at odds between 66/1 and 250/1 on Betfair. I don't think he can win but he could make top five. Contador has shown he can time trial as well as climb so I expect another bold show from him.

Further down the G.C. Tony Martin showed strong form in the first two weeks before fading. He has ridden conservatively with today's stage on his mind and is sound value at prices varying from 28/1 to 40/1 in places, so shop around. Roman Kreuziger can do a good test, if a little short of top class whilst Andreas Kloden and the like of Olympic Silver Medallist (in this discipline) Gustav Larsson can produce top quality times.

So for a value bet, there's no surprise in me going with Bert Grabsch who I see as the only one to give Cancellara a run for his money. At bigger prices his young team mate Tony Martin is way overpriced also and may make the top five but I'll stick with Bert today.

Tip Bert Grabsch

1 point each way

14/1 this morning into 11/1 Paddy Power
16/1 Stan James

CC


 

TOUR DE FRANCE - Update 15th July 2009

By crikey that Cav lad is good! I thought he'd take one of the last two stages but to take the two is incredible and once again underlines how quick and strong he is in a finish. He has four stage wins to date and we're just after hitting half way. I predicted four stage wins thinking that through mishap and luck somone else could claim a sprinting stage but now I'm not so sure he can't go and win every other flat stage there is.

Tomorrow's stage and Saturday's stage are essentially flat finishes with little hills peppered along the way and pundits have been predicting that early breaks will flourish in the terrain. I'm not so sure that Team Columbia will let chances to take another two stages go so I'm sticking with Cav for tomorrow and Saturday. Check his prices in each of the mornings. My only worry is that the last kilometre tomorrow is slightly uphill and that may play into the hands of Thor Hushovd or Oscar Freire but they will need to show unbelievable power if it comes to a sprint after a long days in the saddle - 214 kilometres over nagging little climbs will take it out of everyone.

Cav was taken at 6/4 yesterday and 5/4 today so money has been made although Freire let me down by not finishing in the top three. It's a long stage tomorrow with a lot of early climbs and a steep third category climb about 50 km before the end. If Cav gets over that with the leaders get straight on to Betfair and back him if they are close to any breakaway. However I would advise not to back him in the morning and only back "in running" and only after that last climb.

Tip - Thursday's Stage

Mark Cavendish - Bet in Running from around 3pm onwards. 1 point win. (contingent on way the race pans out )

Have a look at Filippo Pozzato and Alessandro Ballan Betting in Running as I think they can get up those climbs a bit better than Cav can and may be value by backing them in the morning regardless.

Morning Tip

Filippo Pozzato .25 e/w price to follow

CC


Tour de France - Update 13th July 2009

As the site has problems at present of an updating nature the tips for the next two days are

Tuesday - Oscar Freire 0.5pt e/w 12/1 General ( 15/1 Betfair ) - no joy...

Wednesday - Mark Cavendish 1pt Win at best morning price - WINNER 6/4......

CC

Here is the write up!!

As one door closes another opens and while our tip for Friday, Franco Pellizotti suffered greatly and lost time on the first mountain stage, he miraculously recovered enough to go on a 100 mile escape on Sunday's stage and thus enter the frame for the Polka Dot Jersey (see tips for King of the Moutains). Still and all a sickening weekend best avoided and gladly so given the unpredictability of tipping anyone with concrete certainty. However the next few stages should hopefully be a little more defined with two sprinters stages to concern ourselves with. So it's back to the form book and hopefully a few better prices.

After three hard stages in the mountains, the sprinters can look forward to a bit of action in the next few days and the race for the Green Jersey in this year's Tour is certainly hotting up. Mark Cavendish looks the quickest sprinter but is he prepared to sacrifice some of his energy for the intermediate sprints that lie ahead that will go a long way to deciding the destination of the Points classification? Even though he has two stage wins to his name he trails Thor Hushovd in the competition thanks largely to the big Norwegian's consistency to date. Hushovd won Thursday's stage whilst Cavendish toiled on the final climb. The flatter finishes over the next two days will play into the hands of the Manxman but with him needing to contest the intermediate sprints it may give other sprinters a better chance in the finale. I still think Cavendish will be hard to beat but I'm hoping the mountains have levelled the playing field a little as a lot of riders will be tired.

Tomorrow's stage will see the usual early breakaway but I think Cervelo and Columbia with the help of the AG2R team will keep tabs on any break over 5 minutes and we should see a bunch finish. Will Hushovd go for one of the three intermediate sprints or hope that an early break swallows up the points on offer with a resultant bunch finish or will the combination of today's rest day and three hard days in the mountains temper any breakaway attempt in the first instance? It's tough to call.

I'm going to stick with Oscar Freire tomorrow at a likely bigger price. He came over yesterdays stage quite well and took third place points on the stage bringing him back into the running for the Gereen Jersey. Hi ssecond place to Hoshovd last Thursday proved his form and I think he needs to place consistently well in the next three stages by way of a breakaway or by way of a sprint to be a real contender in the Green Jersey competition.

As the next two following stages are fairly flat, the usual men to look out for will be Mark Cavendish, Tyler Farrar, Thor Hushovd, Tom Boonen and Oscar Freire. With Cav the main man I'm going with him to take at least one of the stages, with Freire in the running and Boonen hopefully popping up somewhere in what has been a disasterous Tour thus far. Check your prices every morning but in the meantime here are my early priced tips

Tomorrow - Tuesday - Oscar Freire .5 e/w 12/1 (15/1 Betfair)
Wednesday - Mark Cavendish 1 point win


Tour de France Stage 7 - 10th July 2009

First of all my sincere apologies for no write up today (Thursday) but my pc crashed and I'd no access to the race profile or details on the stage finish.
 
It's the day I've been waiting for all week long, the first mountain top finish and the first real chance to see the Tour's mountain goats and overall contenders pit their wits against each other. It has all the hall marks of a great stage with a ten kilometre ascent over the first of the Hors Category (so big they are can't categorise them!) to the finish in Andorra. The last race here was won by Jan Ullrich who put a minute into mountain legend Marco Pantani and three minutes into the yellow jersey that day. Going on that form it seems that the pure steep hill merchants like Carlos Sastre and Alberto Contador may have every chance tomorrow but could find big gear grafters staying with them like Andreas Kloden, Levi Leipheimer and other climbers like Roman Kreusiger and Andy Schleck. It really is a true test of who is the better climber. So we have to look at the recent form book but first of all the General Classification.
 
Alberto Contador is in third place overall but 19 seconds behind Lance Armstrong. In many circles it is being reported that he may want to show who is team leader and go on the attack tomorrow. Given the fact he is one of the two best climbers in the peleton he is bound to be there at the business end but bank on him being marked all the way up the climb by everyone, including his own team mate Armstrong!!. He is a short price favourite to win tomorrow but I feel he may need assistance from another good climber to distance himself from rivals tomorrow. In my mind the only way this will happen is if someone who is lower on the Overall Classification but also a great climber to make an early break to which Contador can ride up to and help in his attempt for yellow. I'm wary of backing Contador if that turns out to be the case. Remember Alejandro Valverde breaking away with Liquigas rider Symd in the recent Dauphine Libere and riding into yellow and gifting the stage to the Polish rider for his hard work up the climb. Would Contador do the same thing? I think he needs an ally tomorrow and there are two that come to mind.
 
Francesco Pellizotti rode a fantastic Giro D' Italia which was memorable for his winning attack on the last climb of Stage 17 where he put time into Dennis Menchov in yellow, Carlos Sastre and Danielo Di Luca. The Blockhaus climb that day is not unlike tomorrow's finale and I think he is the perfect candidate to "assist" Contador in his quest for yellow. Franco is not the best time trialist so realistically he is not going to win overall. At the moment he is two and a half minutes down on the overall and can only hope to make time on the climbs. Tomorrow is one of only three days where the finish is on top of a mountain so his chances are limited and in my opinion he is too great a price for at least an each way chance tomorrow given his form.
 
The other rider is obviously th mountain goat Carlos Sastre who is behind Pellizotti in the overall standings and will also have highlighted this stage as one of his targets. He needs to take back time tomorrow and I expect him to be quite active on the final climb. He ranks in the top three climbers in the Tour  and was bang in form at the end of the Giro. Tomorrow will be all systems go and there will not be many that stay with him should he go.
 
Summary
 
Contador will ride into yellow tomorrow I think but he won't dominate the stage. With the likelihood of an early break reaching the climb before all the big guns, there is an outside chance that the race could be decided before the final climb but it is remote. I think Sastre and Pellizotti have the legs to attack early on the climb and may be allowed stay away by the main contenders for most of the climb where I then expect Contador to make some sort of move further up the climb. If he bridges the gap I think a stage could be gifted to one of the above. Of the two, I'm going to put my money on Pellizotti who represents fantastic value but I think Sastre will be close and Contador around the premises as well.
 
Tip
 
Franco Pellizotti 1 point each way Betfair 23/1 , Boyle Sports 18/1
CC

 


TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 6 - 9th July 2009

No write up today, apologies.....

Kim Kirchen is your man though for a Stage Win here on a tricky uphill sprint finish...

0.5pt e/w 9.8 Win  and 3.6 Place on Betfair....3 places

CC


TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 5 - 8th July 2009

Finally money to show for all our correct predictions in the four stages to date with Team Saxo placing third in the Team Time Trial after market leaders Astana and Garmin both of whom were predicted to race home quicker. That said it makes it four correct tips on stage winners out of four but today is the first day we made clear profit.

Unfortunately tomorrow is another flat stage as is Thursday so the bookmakers will surely make Mark Cavendish a long odds on winner. If you wish to roll on your small winnings from the first few stages, I couldn't advise against him winning again but the other teams will ensure their teams get their sprinters to the finish tomorrow unlike the farce yesterday on Stage 3.

The stage is flat but very technical in the final five kilometres with a number of 90 degree bends and roundabouts on the approach to the finish. This may lead to crashes and a hairy sprint. There is a tight corner just before the finishing straight so whichever sprinter's team train is first around that bend will surely provide their sprinter with the winner.

Of course Team Colombia is the best lead train out so it's hard to look too far from them but for the third time I'm going to take a small chance on Tom Boonen who has a fantastic burst of pace and has had nothing go right for him so far which hopefully will change tomorrow. I still think Cav is the fastest but Thor Hushovd got to within two bike lengths of him yesterday and I rate Boonen a far quicker finisher than the Norwegian. With luck, if Big Tom can get on Cav's wheel or even make the acceleration before him, it gives him a great chance of finishing in the top three with such a tight road into the finish. Cav is going for win number three but his team must surely be tired from today's time trial and might not be at their best. Take another chance on Tom at a likely decent each way price

Tom Boonen .5 point e/w 24.5 Betfair and 4.5 place Betfair 

CC

Story So Far -

Points Total

S1, Evans .5 e/w - 5th, loss 1 point, Zabriskie .5 e/w - 10th, loss 1 point

S2, Cavendish 1 point 11/10, 1st profit 1.1 point, Boonen .5 e/w - Bunch finish, loss 1 point

S3, Boonen 1 point e/w 16/1, bunch, loss 2 points

S4 Team Saxo 1 point e/w 12/1, 3rd, profit 3 points

Overall Loss 0.9pts


CC



TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 4 - 7th July 2009

Such a bizarre finale yesterday with a strong cross wind splitting the main bunch into two groups with nearly all of Team Colombia making the first break and the rest of the main contenders for the stage missing out including my pick, Tom Boonen. Cavendish finished the stage off sweetly as predicted for his second win but once again we are left counting the cost of a non sprint finish. Odds for Green Jersey winner are all but unbackable now so I hope everyone was on the Even money as advised last week on the Manx man. Cav has now bagged two stage wins so is halfway towards my predicted total of 4 but even I'm a bit wary of this as I think he is unbeatable on the flat and could win five or more stages in his current form.

Today's stage is a Team Time Trial over 25 miles of a tough, technical course and with winds expected to be galeforce. There are only four real contenders for this stage, Team Colombia, Team Astana, Garmin and Team Saxo Bank. With all the work done by Colombia yesterday, I think they will find it hard to win even though their team is so strong. However with two stage wins under their belt, confidence is high and it is very close to pick a winner from either of the four. Astana have a team of brilliant cyclists with the likes of Contador, Armstrong, Kloden and Leipheimer all excellent individual time trialers. It is no wonder they are going off as favourites but the odds on money about them is very short.

Garmin Slipstream have a brilliant time trialling team and will run them very close with the likes of Bradley Wiggins, David Millar and David Zabriskie in their team. In what should be a race between these two I cannot find a winner and their odds prohibit me from tipping either to make money on.

So at a very favourable price I am picking Team Saxo Bank who have the current yellow jersey wearer and Saturday's time trial winner in Cancellara, the Norwegian Time Trial champion Kurt Arvessen as well as the very in form Schleck brothers. They might be written off as winners with the strength in depth about the other teams but with most bookmakers paying out on the first three I will take them to finish at least third and at betwen 10/1 and 12/1 they are a great each way price.

Team Saxo Bank

1 point each way 12/1
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TOUR DE FRANCE - STAGE 3, 6th July 2009

Two stages gone and two comprehensive winners in the two C's, Cavendish and Cancellara. Whilst Cancellara's odds were too prohibitive to back on Saturday, the Even money was brilliant about Cavendish yesterday given his utter dominance in bunch sprinting. However the crash within three kilometres saw a lot of the sprint hopefuls either delayed by riders falling or giving up on contesting the sprint after a gap opened. Surprisingly Nicholas Roche finished within ten bike lengths of Cavendish and only five behind Tyler Farrar which shows that the quality of the final sprint was not top notch. The likes of Tom Boonen, Oscar Freire and Danielo Bennati would have finished quite closer to Cavendish but for the fall and in my opinion ahead of Farrar so we can count ourselves a little unlucky that Big Tom Boonen wasn't in the mix.

Today's stage is much like yesterday, rolling roads early doors which will lend itself to a breakaway attempt with a bunch finish likely at the business end. It is hard to see any rider beating Cavendish - the gap he opened up on Farrar in the final one hundred and fifty metres was quite incredible, imagine a 100 metre track sprinter like Usain Bolt beating the other sprinters by over a full second then we have an idea of how far ahead Cav is from the rest. His team are utterly dominant in getting him in the correct position evidenced yesterday when Team Milram tried to get their sprinter in positon with a different line to Colombia but Gerard Ciolek could only manage sixth.

It's hard to take anything but positives from yesterday though as Cav makes his mark on this year's Tour in pursuit of the Green Jersey and with most of the bigger names falling short, Cav has opened up a nice gap already in the Points Total. Today should be dominated by sprinters again and I'm sticking with Cav to follow up but in a much tighter finish with some of the bigger players escaping any melee towards the finish. However his price makes backing him almost impossible at 1/2 and even 4/9 in places. We can see from yesterday that only a slight error by another rider can mess up a sprint and should that happen the each way values of a number of riders come into play. Second favourite for today's race is 9/1 across the board! So we have to take it that Cav wins and look to make money on the places.

I had identified Tom Boonen, Oscar Freire and Danielo Bennati as likely contenders for the Green Jersey and I see no change to that which means they need to get the luck today that deserted them yesterday. They each are available at 16/1 , 9/1 and 20/1 respectively which are massive prices for a place bet. I have to take Tom Boonen again at 16/1 each way as it's far too big a price for a rider of his capabilities. I couldn't put anyone off Oscar Freire but I think Boonen is a better sprinter and was unlucky yesterday .

Tip

I think Cavendish will win again but at 1/2 there is no point backing him unless you're rolling up on the double from yesterday. However we saw how hairy it was towards the end of yesterday so luck will need to be on his side and also his team will need to be spot on again. With one eye on the Team Time Trial tomorrow, perhaps Team Colombia might hope to share the work with other teams but they should be dominant so we're looking to either a mishap like yesterday or a power packed finish from Tornado Tom to make some money on this stage.

Tom Boonen
1pt e/w 16/1 (Blue Square online), 24/1 Betfair


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TOUR DE FRANCE UPDATE - 4th July 2009.............

Stage One threw up few surprises with Fabian Cancellara annihilating the field over the 15 kilometres beating Alberto Contador and Bradley Wiggins comprehensively. Unfortunately only four seconds behind Contador was my tip Cadel Evans who was looking so good up the first half of the climb only to fade on the flat run in. We would have had a nice start to our campaign at the recommended 14/1 pricing for a placing on the stage!

However what was certainly a positive was seeing our pick for yellow, Alberto Contador, in flying form in his least favourite discipline and the Even money about him this morning to win the Tour must now surely be closer to 1/2 !! A great start. Even better was the form shown by Roman Kreuziger our tip for the under 25 category finishing almost thirty seconds clear of Andy Schleck the odds on favourite and placing in the top ten on the stage. With that vein of form our selection remains a firm each way possibility and maybe even a top ten finisher.

Tomorrow we see the first flat stage and it's sprinter's paradise all the way. I cannot stress how much Mark Cavendish is miles ahead of these in speed and so is my clear pick for the spoils tomorrow. Next best should be Tom Boonen and Oscar Freire with Tyler Farrar not far away. As we are in the business of making money, the odds about Cavendish might be prohibitive but with most bookies paying on the first three and the likely helter skelter about the finish it might pay to stick each way with Boonen if the odds are in our favour in the morning or during the race. At time of writing (Saturday evening) Boonen is a massive 11/1 on the UK bookmakers sites but more constricting at 6/1 with Boylesports. Paddy Power (known for getting the market completely wrong) have not priced up yet but check them for an early price. Tornado Tom has had a hurricane week but is, I think, the second best sprinter in the peleton and a former winner of the Green Jersey, so mark his card and pay close attention and perhaps swing his way to finish closer to CAV than the rest.

Tips

Mark Cavendish 1 point 11/10 Blue Square
Tom Boonen .5 e/w 11/1 Blue Square.com
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Tour De France - Stage 1

The Tour has finally arrived and opens as per usual with an individual time trial around the principality of Monaco famed for it's Formula One extravaganza. Monaco is quite a hilly area and with an ocean front likely to produce winds onshore, this time trial is far from easy to call. A very strong rider on the flat may find the first few kilometres unsettling as the road ascends and with these stages decided by seconds, any time lost early doors may be hard to recoup in the final few kilometres. I have trawled through this season's time trials to get a feel for what type of rider has excelled on such a course.

A couple of facts about the course before a decision can be made. The distance is 15.5 kilometres which makes it an actual stage rather than a prologue. The first 7.5 kilometres ascend out of the town into the hills but is not so steep with an average gradient of 2-3 per cent. Kilometre 8 to 11.5 is descending, though again not rapidly and the final four kilometres is flat along the ocean front where side- winds may come into play.


The course is similiar to the one Alberto Contador won in Paris-Nice back in March and the more recent Dauphine-Libere won by Cadel Evans beating Contador by seven seconds. My feeling is that both will have a large say in the destination of the stage win and their prices on the market are very attractive.

However there is one specialist in these type of events who has proven time and time again that he is the best short course time trialist in the world. The Swiss rider Fabian Cancellara won in 2007 when in London and has a palmares full of time trial wins over the years but most notably in the recent Tour of Switzerland. He blew the opposition away in both time trial stages so his form cannot be questioned going into this Tour. He is odds on favourite but not value for me in what I think may throw up a few surprises.

Looking back over the past few years results in these stages, one rider who has always performed unbelievably well against the odds has been David Zabriskie. The American has been selected in a very strong Garmin Team who no doubt have highlighted time trials and the team time trial as possible stage wins. He comes here in great form having recently won the American Time Trial Championships and will relish this first stage. He represents fantastic value of a podium place on the stage and is on my short list.

It's tough to see past Cancellara for the win but his price is prohibitive so I will take two against the field in tomorrow's opening stage in the form of David Zabriskie and Cadel Evans both of whom I know are in top form and will have been primed for the event. Expect a bold showing from all the main contenders and look to the form of Armstrong and Contador. The race of truth is exactly that and can show positive indications of who is on top form for this year's Tour.

Tips - Each Way - First Three placings

David Zabriskie .5 e/w 40/1 Paddy Power (79/1 Betfair!)

Cadel Evans .5 e/w 14/1 Stan James, 12/1 all others (23/1 Betfair)

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TOUR DE FRANCE - White Jersey, Best Young Rider -  2nd July 2009

The maillot blanc is awarded to the best-placed rider under 26 years of age in the Tour de France. Past winners include Alberto Contador, Andy Schleck (again qualifying for the category), and Damiano Cunego. Last year was a close run thing between Andy Schleck and Roman Kreuziger and this year should be no different with those same two men in contention along with Vincenzo Nibali and Tony Martin of Colombia. The Dutch rider Robert Gesink enters the frame as a possible contender given his prowess in the mountains in recent week long Tours and could be worthy of a top ten finish overall.

Fans of Irish cycling will have followed the career paths of cousins Nicolas Roche and Daniel Martin and until this morning both were signed up to compete in this year's Tour. However Dan Martin has been forced to withdraw due to a tendonitis issue in his knee which for me personally is a huge diappointment as I'm particularly fond of his combatitive style. He was an outside tip for the White Jersey but with riders of the calibre of Schleck and Kreuziger, it was always going to be a difficult task.

And so to the likely odds available at this stage and bookmakers have nailed their colours to the mast quite early installing Andy Schleck as odds on favourite. However his odds make backing him an impossibility and anyway I feel that the level of form shown by Roman Kreuziger this year makes him a stand out bet at around 5/1 each way just in case Andy has a bad day or two. As mentioned before Kreuziger has won the Tour of Romandie and finished second in the Tour of Switzerland, both good stage races and a key pointer to Tour form. Kreuziger has an advantage over Schleck in the time trials and his climbing has come on leaps and bounds since last year as can be evidenced in those recent week long tours. In honesty it should be closer to call in the betting ring and for that reason I am taking the bookies on and going with Roman Kreuziger to win this year's Best Young Rider Category and the White Jersey

Tip

Roman Kreuziger - 1 point each way 5/1

1/3 of odds in Paddy Power for each way returns!!!

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TOUR DE FRANCE - Polka Dot Jersey, King of the Mountains - 2nd July 2009

With the goal of designing a suspenseful race in mind, the Tour organizers have created a series of mountain stages that tease and tempt with the possibility of big attacks, but should not prove especially decisive. It isn’t that the Tour does not include hard climbing. The course includes the mighty Col de Tourmalet, the highest paved pass in the French Pyrénées, for example. But the organizers have placed the stage finish 70 kilometers from the summit of the Tourmalet. That distance, most of it covering descending or flat terrain, offers plenty of road for a chase group to neutralize a big attack. Many of the other mountain stages in this Tour follow a similar pattern with either a descending finish or the major climb located at a significant distance from the stage finish. If the Tour organizers have calculated correctly, the result should be a suspenseful Tour, where the general classification hopefuls have to think tactically about when and where they will use their strengths and how exactly they can win this Tour.

This leads to a most interesting battle for King of the Mountains this year. The main protagonists may reserve energy for the run in towards each finish as distinct from in the past where surging ahead on the second last or last climb, not only gained them time, but also points towards the King of the Mountains title. Generally awarded for the most consistently placed rider across each of the summits, this year's Tour will be exactly that as riders will surely contest the Classification rather than incidentally acquire the hill climber's jersey on the way to gaining time or a stage victory.

The premise of this jersey is simple - The bigger the climb, the more points are won for riding over it ahead of rivals. The rider with the most points wins the famous polka dot jersey. The climbs are categorised in relation to their difficulty with lower hills defined as Category 4 rising to 3 , 2 and 1 but the major climbs are given their own distinct ranking of HC, Hors Category (above categorisation), and they are the monuments of the Tour found in the Alps and Pyrenees such as the Col de Tourmalet and Col D' Aspin.

It is a pure mountain goat's jersey and has been won by notable but disgraced cyclists such as Richard Virenque, Bernhard Kohl and Michael Rasmussen in the past. This year it is assured of finding a new home and I have a few for the short list.

Top of my list is Andy Schleck who showed in last year's Tour that he has the capacity to become a fantastic stage rider in the future by finishing 12th overall and also winning the Under 23 category. He is heralded by many as a future winner of the Tour though at just 24 he may be a little way off that target. For that reason I think this year he has targetted the climber's jersey along with a top ten finish and hopefully a stage or two thrown in. His form has been solid without being spectacular although he has won the arduous Liege-Bastone-Liege and was runner up in Fleche-Wallone. His win in the Luxembourg Road Race Championships shows us his current good form and I was impressed with his climbing in the Tour of Switzerland. Given the absence of any stand out team captain in Saxo, apart from his brother who is still recovering his form from an injury sustained a few months back, Andy may be leader and with the general classification perhaps just out of reach, a Tour jersey will be a prized possession

This year has some stand-out competition in the mountain category and Roman Kreuziger is another I would not dismiss lightly. His form was good in Switzerland and he won the Tour of Romandie against some top opposition. Like Schleck he is barely 24 but is a solid rider at this stage of his career. Along with his team mate Franco Pellizotti, stage wins and the polka dot classification with a top ten finish would be a fantastic Tour achievement and I can see either of the Liquigas boys going for this jersey if the opportunity presented itself. Their odds are shambolic in Paddy Power especially given the fact they are great climbers and don't let the big prices fool you at this stage.

The first day in the hills will be a very good indication of who may challenge for the jersey but I would like to get the jump on the bookies by picking three against the field in my selections above with Andy Schleck my main tip. Have a look out for the first day's climbing on Stage 7 (friday week) which includes the first of three mountain top finishes and which will shape the market in this category.

Tips - Each way Tips

Andy Schleck 1 e/w @ 8/1

Roman Kreuziger .5 e/w @ 50/1

Franco Pellizotti .5 e/w @ 20/1 Paddy Power

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THE GREEN JERSEY - Sprinters 1st July 2009

Anyone who has followed my ramblings over the past few months will know how sweet I am on Mark Cavendish. He has provided me with more winning tips than any other rider and one year on from his 4 stage victories in the Tour, I am going with him to better that with as many stage wins and a Green Jersey as I see no one who can come within two bike lenthgs of him in any flat bunch sprint stage finish. The team selected by Team Colombia has been designed to put their main man in the best possible position in the final few kilometres and it is the well oiled train that will deny almost everyone else coming close to Cav, provided the wheels don't fall off early as they did in the first few stages of the Giro this year. Riders like George Hincapie, Berhard Eisel and Mark Renshaw will have the bunch strung out in the final two or three kilometres and Cavendish should be able to repel all challengers close to home.

First of all let's look at the likely stages where the Manxman can make his mark. The Stage One Time Trial can be omitted but stage two, three, and five are there for the taking with small category climbs early in the stages and long rolling quick roads which should result in bunch sprints. Stages ten, eleven and twelve are dotted with minor climbs which may lend themselves to early breakaways but the downhill stretches into the finish of each may bring the riders back together flat but we will need to wait until the final stage before Cav can shine again.

Of the likely contenders on the pro circuit for sprint finishes, Alessandro Petacchi, Cav's main danger in the Giro does not compete. Petacchi beat Cavendish soundly in the first two stages of the Giro then but with the Italian missing from this year's Tour we will need to look further and deeper to find anyone worthy of challenging Cav for a sprint finish. Tyler Farrar has tried to mix it with Cav but has fallen a couple of metres short of top notch. Thor Hushovd has not been able to maintain his pace in the final few metres whilst a more likely contender probably lies in the possible return to form of Daniele Bennati who has been well short of practice due to injury this year. However Bennati will need to ride on the curtain tails of the Colombia bus as his team does not have the cover required for a top level sprinter. Best of the rest might well be Oscar Freire of Rabo bank with Gerard Ciolek of Milram and should Tom Boonen of Quick Step be allowed to compete, then we may well have an upset on the cards given his recent level of form. However a French Court is yet to decide on his participation.

The Green Jersey winner will depend on whether the winner of the sprints can bring his body over the mountains to the stage finish in Paris. Cavendish has not done this before but is motivated by the jersey this year. Points are awarded not only for placings in the stage finishes but also in intermediary sprints during the stage itself. However with likely breakaways early in the stages, those sprints may not prove wholly decisive in the race for the Green Jersey and so with much confidence I am tipping Mark Cavendish to become the first Briton to win the jersey and in the process win at least three stages in this year's Tour De France.

Tip - Mark Cavendish

Best Bets

Green Jersey Winner - 3 points Even Money

Exactly 4 stages 10/3 Paddy Power - 1 point

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Tour De France Part One -Yellow Jersey Contenders, 30th June 2009

It's five days to the beginning of the Tour De France and panel selections have been made by nearly all the teams. Ireland's Nicholas Roche received the call up yesterday evening whilst Dan Martin had been drafted early last week. There are a certain number of surpise omissions most notably in Team Colombia where reigning World Time Trial Champion Bert Grabsch has been omitted along with Frantziek Rabon, two stalwarts in both individual and team tests against the clock. Not that Team Colombia are weakened with riders of the calibre of Kim Kirchen, Tony Martin and Michael Rogers but I would have been very tempted by the 7/2 on offer about their success in the team trial had they been included as well as in the longer of the two individual time trials. So each day this week I will get down to the business of predictions in each of the categories Yellow Jersey , the Green Jersey and the King of The Mountains as well as the Best under 23 rider.

Overall Contenders - Yellow Jersey


Alberto Contador is likely to be odds on to win this Tour given the expectation to follow up on his previous Tour win as well as his Giro and Vuelta wins in 2008. The fact that his main rivals have question marks about them ensures that Contador commences the three week Tour as market leader by some way. The young man has everything, speed, stamina and power and a will to dominate in all disciplines of the bike. His time trialling isn't the very best but it's close to perfect and his climbing is better than most and together those factors will decide how much he wins this Tour by. His conditioning this year has meant he was slightly below form in the Dauphine Libere due to severe training camps shortly before but still he was involved in nearly all the mountain top finishes and was close in the time trials. Three weeks have passed and he has timed his form to perfection. In essence I cannot see anything bar an accident or a mishap preventing him from winning this year's Tour. At odds of around Even money, you may well be buying money even at this stage.

I really liked the form Cadel Evans brought to the Dauphine. My worries were substantiated in the second to last stage when he did all he could to break Valverde but just couldn't. This in my opinion, is what will prevent him from winning any Grand Tour. His time trialling was perfection this year but he just cannot control every move like the big teams can and Contador with the likes of Leipheimer, Kloden and others will mark him out of it. For me he is worthy of a place on the podium but I think the chances of winning it are reflected in his price.

The Tour would not be the same without mentioning Lance Armstrong. You might have noted that I didn't mention his name as a domestique for Alberto Contador and it is with bated breath I await the dual between these two giants of cycling. Armstrong's return to the professional fold was a mixed bag of emotion for many and his return especially to France will have more negative than positive support. A recent survey found that 70% of French people viewed his career as one tainted with drugs and in the home of cycling this will not go away quietly on the mountains of the Alps and Pyrenees. However from a betting propostion he is well entitled to be among the favourites even if he has not won or performed well in a race all year. He got shelled in the Giro which was not unusual given his lack of training for the event but he will be in as good a shape as he can be in this event. I think he is the only man who can give Contador a run for his money and many bookmakers also have this view. Armstrong can dominate in the climbs and I would venture a better time trialist than Contador, however only one aspect will prevent him from winnning this Tour, his age. At 37, an Armstrong win would be the oldest the Tour has ever seen and I'm not sure that it ever will. Whilst there are some aspects you will never lose, 37 is not 24 and Armstrong may just not have the legs to do what Contador can do. But it will be closer than a lot of people think.

Summary
Contador has done it before and goes into the Tour with great form. Armstrong has done it seven times before but has not come up against a competitor like the young Spaniard who is more like Armstrong than he'd care to know. I can see them finishing one two decided by the time Contador takes out of him in the mountains and the time Armstrong can get back in the time trials. Cadel Evans could be best of the rest but keep an eye on young Andy Schleck who is fast becoming a really talented stage rider.

ADVICE

2.5pts Win - Alberto Contador 11/10 Paddy Power and William Hill
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P.S.- correction to the above piece. Reports had it that Bert Grabsch was not in the Team Colombia line up but Markus Burghart has been replaced by him. It gives Colombia even more chances of stage success in both time trials and team time trial.


CYCLING UPDATE 25th JUNE 2009 - UPCOMING EVENTS

I will be writing a comprehensive review of the Tour De France which gets under way on Saturday week in Monaco once the teams have been finalised after the weekend. I will look at some of the recent Tour results, the course in detail and the riders who have shown form this year and around this time last year, not to mind the team tactics involved in what will prove to be a very exciting renewal of Le Grande Boucle.

There are some exciting mountain finishes, sprint stages, time trials and the return of the Team Time Trial which astonishingly has Team Columbia only as third favourite at 7/2 in some bookmakers.

Mark Cavendish will have opportunities to shine in the first week but can he last a three week Tour and become the first British rider to have won the Green Jersey as best points scorer?

Can Lance Armstrong return to make it seven Tour de France victories or is Contador unbeatable?

Who is likely to challenge in the mountains for the Polka Dot Jersey and rightfully claim the King of the Mountains mantle?

It's a fascinating three weeks of racing and I hope to give you answers to those questions and offer value tips each and every day through the month of July.

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CYCLING UPDATE 20th June 2009 -

Roman Kreuziger and Kim Kirchen took centre stage in the last climb yesterday with the climb not proving arduous enough to split the main contenders. Today could be another one for the above two as they seemed the strongest and the climb at the end today is similiar to yesterday. With tomorrow's time trial likely to prove the destination of the overall yellow jersey, we can look to many attacks once again but not much time gained.
 
So it's short and sweet today, it looks likely to be between Kirchen and Kreuziger to try and get time with Damiano Cunego an outside bet for a place.
 
Tomorrow's time trail should see a straight battle between Kreuziger and Cancellara with the former taking the stage but Cancellara winning the overall classification.
 
Saturday bets
 
Kim Kirchen 7/1 each way
Danger Roman Kreuziger 4/1
 
 
Sunday Bets
Roman Kreuziger & Fabian Cancellara
 
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CYCLING UPDATE 18th June 2009 -

Team Orders went against our main tip Franck Schleck yesterday as he molly coddled his team leader Swiss rider Fabian Cancellara up the last climb thus sacrificing his own chances. Schleck was more than comfortable and ensured Cancellara remained in contention with the main climbers. The group had whittled down to 19 riders and Schleck finished seventh to Cancellara's second so the team came before individual honours which was more than a little frustrating for our tip knowing he was the class act there. As expected his brother died a death on the climbs paying for his exertions the day before and lost over a minute.

Today is a sprinter's day according to the route profile and the flat run in should ensure a bunch gallop. Odds on Mark Cavendish are quite paltry but fair given his dominance in any sprint and best priced at present is just under 2/1 on Betfair (but the liquidity in the market is quite small). Team Colombia have perfected the lead out and so I expect Cavendish to hold all the cards but if there is any chink in his armour it is that yesterday's day in the mountains might have made him a little leg weary. But that's a huge if.

Thor Hushovd faded badly in the final 50 metres of the spint on Monday but if timing his challenge should give Cavendish most to do. He might be value at 9/1 in Paddy Power (yes they're back!!) and Ladbrokes and you can get 10.5 about him on Betfair. It's a big ask for the Norwegian but he might fair a little better today if Cavendish isn't on song.

Tips

Mark Cavendish win

Danger Thor Hushovd

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CYCLING UPDATE 17th June 2009 -

The expected early breakaway materialised yesterday with one of our tips Sylvain Chavenal making it into the group which stayed away for most of the day eventually whittled down to only 9 riders contesting the final sprint. The final climb before the flat run in was too much for our man and even the likes of Heinrich Haussler was not able to match the pace of Andy Schleck and co up the Category Two ascent. None of the sprinters got a look in and it was well advised to stay away from Mark Cavendish even though all the major bookmakers were trading at odds on for another stage win!!

Today is a real climber's day and I would have tipped up the impressive Andy Schleck had he not gone on a mission yesterday. His older brother Franck is my tip today to see his way away on the climbs and stay away to the finish. However be very wary of the final few kilometres because if Franck gets assistance from anyone lower than him on GC then we might have a case of the "Valverde" (see my report on last week's Dauphine).

I expect the race the blow apart with some notable climbs heading towards Austria. The main contenders in the climbs will be Kreuziger, Kirchen and Gerdemann and the latter is one of my favourite cyclists for his outspoken nature on drug taking in the peleton. I would love to see him compete with the like of Schleck today and to go on and have a successful Tour De France. However Schleck looks a sound bet for at least a plae given his fine form in last month's Tour of Luxembourg and who generally comes into form around this time of year.

Tips

Franck Schleck 12/1 Stan James (between 6/1 and 8/1 across the board)
Linus Gerdemann 40/1 BET365, 33/1 Ladbrokes

N.B. Interesting to see that Paddy Power closed their book on this race yesterday and have not re-opened it! Maybe Colin Coupon got their "expert" fired for the price given on Cav on Monday!!!
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CYCLING UPDATE 16th June 2009 -

Paddy Power missed the boat once again yesterday's stage of the Tour of Switzerland and provided us with an astounding price of 13/2 about Mark Cavendish. Had the bookmaker any clue as to how the race would probably unfold, Cavendish should have been as short at 6/4 at off given the fact that the bunch was likely to reform after the only climb. Betfair exchanges on Cav shortened drastically in the last few kilometres but he was still available at 5/1 in running with 30 flat kilometres to go.  Whilst there was a major climb in the race, today's action was always more than likely to shake up the peleton and provide us with a clearer picture of an overall winner.
 
Stage Three of the Tour De Suisse starts on a mountain, heads back downhill then heads up and down for about 60 kilometres before a fairly flat last 30 kilometres again. However by the time the riders get to the last climb, although only Category Two, I expect the time gaps to be too great for the sprinters to get back in so please avoid all bets on out and out sprinters tomorrow. It is a strong man's day and a likely early break may form with the legs to carry themselves over the last climb with a sizeable gap.
 
Martin Elmiger is a man who knows the terrain quite well being from the area and tried a similiar move last year in this stage. He may be marked again a a likely escapee so look to his betting to make your decision. His form to date has been quite good in the one day classics which is just the type of rider who may excel today. A fine 9th in Flanders was preceded by 12th place in Milan San Remo so a tough up and down stage is to his liking. He has strong claims as does another strong man Heinrich Haussler who might just join him on his quest, Sylvain Chavenal and Pippo Pozzato from Katusha all with sound Classics credentials.
 
Of the out and out climbers this might be a day to stamp their authority and the Schleck brothers carry good form into the race. Andy and Frank performed very well in the recent Tour of Luxembourg and can be seen in better light as the roads rise upwards. Roman Kreuziger won this race last year and will mark the Schleck's carefully whilst Christian Vandevelde may use tomorrow's stage as training for the upcoming Tour de France. Another who fits the bill is Kim Kirchen who can climb with the best of them whilst finishing better than most.
 
All in all it's a really tough stage to call and will most likely be decided by the final climb. A group of climbers only will find it difficult to maintain a large gap in the 30 kilometre run in to the finish and with the likely front runners all looking at each other it may pay to stick with a Classics type rider who can get over the climbs and get back in with the climbers in the last stages (if they have not already flown the nest before the climb).
 
I'm going to give a selection of three tomorrow, three classic type riders with strong place claims but as ever watch the Betfair market once you ascertain who is in the front half of the bunch over the last climb. A climber may not have enough to keep away in the long run in to the finish and a group sprint could be likely. It really is a tough one to call
 
Tips
 
Each Way Value
 
Kim Kirchen 25s Stan James
Martin Elmiger 40's General
Sylvain Chavanal 40s General

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CYCLING UPDATE 15th June 2009 -

Alejandro Valverde collected his second Dauphine Libere in Grenoble yesterday coming through a spate of attacks on the final First Category climb by Cadel Evans to comfortably ride to the finish. A great winner for us as tipped last weekend at 4/1 (7/2 in places). We very nearly had icing on our cake with Alekander Kuyschinski narrowly missing out on a podium place in yesterday's stage at 66/1. The Belarussian was highlighted as a likely attacker on the final day and so it proved as a group of 15-20 riders broke away in the first few kilometres. As the group started to splinter on the final climb, Kuyschinki battled hard at the front and made one tactical error in not following the Dutch rider Stef Clement at the top of the climb who later went on to win. Perhaps Alex didn't have the legs but he was only twenty seconds away from getting in the front group of two at one stage which would have guaranteed us place money. Instead he had to settle for fifth place but a fantastic ride all the same.

Overall we had a very successful week with winners in Bert Grabsch, Valverde, Moncoutie and so very close with Kuyschinski. Already underway is the week long Tour de Suisse (Tour of Switzerland) and the action has been intense. With its undulating terrain, Switzerland throws up exciting stages and today again is a demon to weigh up. Essentially it is a flat stage with one climb peaking 60 kms from the finish. However it is the length of the climb which makes me wonder whether the renowned sprinters will make it back to the bunch in time to contest the final sprint. Yesterday Mark Cavendish finished over 13 minutes down on the bunch as the gradient went up and we could see a similiar case today although I suspect his Team Colombia has other cards up their sleeve should he not make it. His team mate proved quickest yesterday and with form as shown, what's stopping Bernhard Eisel from following up today? He's trading at between 8 and 12/1 depending where you go where as Cavendish is best priced 13/2 with Paddy Power obviously not feeling Cav can regain contact in time for the finish following the climb. So it is a tricky one to call.

The race today will depend on how those vying for overall contention feel about showing their hands so early in the week over the day's one and only climb. I think that although the mountain is long, it may be manageable if a certain tempo is maintained. The run in after the climb will enable many of those dropped to get back in so it is unwise to discount the sprinters just yet. Who would back against Cav winning if he came over the climb less than two minutes down!? I think that is where we must concentrate today and if possible watch the betting in running. Should the bunch steamroll up that climb then forget the out and out sprinters like Cav and Bennati. But bear in mind the strong men who are also good finishers like Heinrich Haussler and Oscar Freire who have the legs to get over the climb and to get back in the bunch with team support. For me it is not a betting proposition until I see the time gaps over the mountain. However here are some options

Take an early price about Cavendish to win - available at 13/2 Paddy Power, however -
Lay Cav on Betfair if he's losing time rapidly on the climb with no team support  i.e. more than 4  riders with him.
If Cav has that help and comes over the top around three minutes back, take a gamble on him getting back in the bunch and winning the sprint - remember Team Colombia recently won the Team Time Trial in the Giro and have notable time trialists in their squad so they can easily get back in with a lull after the main climb and feeding stations slowing down the bunch.

If Cav has no support back Heinrich Haussler or Oscar Freire to win - larger price in running on Betfair more than likely on the final climb.

Early prices

Win Market

Mark Cavendish - 31/5 Betfair & 13/2 Paddy Power
Oscar Freire - 17/5 Betfair & 3/1 Paddy Power

Each Way
Heinrich Haussler - 13/1 Betfair & 10/1 Stan James & Paddy Power

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CYCLING UPDATE 14th June 2009 -

Unfortunately I peaked a day too early in tipping David Moncoutie in the mountains of the Dauphine Libere. The 32 year old soloed home over the final climb after shedding his earlier breakaway companions to record a fabulous win, 10 years after his first stage win in this same event. It is a little sickening given that he was available at 25/1 in the morning and 22s on Friday but it showed he was in peak form over the climbs. It was heartening to see an improved performance by Daniel Martin who coaxed his teammate David Millar up the hills and finished in the top 20 after a less than illustrious week blighted by sickness. I still think a strong showing might be on the cards today but unfortunately the hills are not as steep and he may be under team orders to protect Millar. But it might pay to have a small bet on him getting some leeway now that Millar cannot seem to be able to win the Overall Classification. Our main tip Alejandro Valverde looks set to win his second Dauphine and will have deserved it after his powerful showing in the mountains this week. A winner for us all if you took my bet last sunday!
 
Today's route covers three climbs not as arduous as the previous passes through the Alps but sure to throw up some familiar names especially on the last climb, a category one climb, which offers the mountain goats a chance to shine . However the downhill run in to Grenoble of about 30 kilometres will give any stragglers the chance to get back in the bunch and contest a finish. I think we must concentrate on those who have been active in early breakaways and who may just have the strength to get away before the last climb and who can stay away as I think the results of today's stage will be decided by the make up of an early breakaway group.
 
Stephane Goubert, Lars Bak, Juan Manuel Garate Cepa were all active on Friday and any of the three are capable of going out early and staying away should a breakaway group form. I think 39 year old Goubert felt Friday was his day but his team mate proved stronger and it would be no surprise to see him in the mix again today. Lars Bak is a fine strong rider and could take his chance if having the necessary legs whilst Garate may not be the strongest in a sprint but is a threat if getting into an early break. One other for the short-list is the Belarussian Aliaksandr Kuschynski who always seems to find himself in breaks and who is a rider I've admired for his long range efforts.
 
Today's stage could go any which way and it will be frantic at the start where everyone will be trying to get into early breaks. I wll concentrate on the above five at small stakes in the hope that at least two will make it into a break. Watch the betting in running on Betfair if any of them do as they will be worth a few punts later in the day.
 
Tips
 
Daniel Martin 40/1 Bet365
Stephane Goubert - no price available
Lars Bak - no price available
JuanGarate - 66/1 Sporting Bet & 42/1 Betfair
Alex Kushsynski - no price available

CC


CYCLING UPDATE 12th June 2009 -

With three kilometres left to race in yesterday's stage to the mountain summit of Mont Ventoux I emailed The Judge to let him know that even though Alejandro Valverde was in a break of two and looking likely to go into yellow, he would not win the stage. My reasoning was that his companion Symd was working as hard as he could with Valverde to enhance the time gap on Valverde's main rivals. With yellow beckoning and overall honours more important than minor stage wins, Valverde gifted the race to his Polish companion for all his hard work, theatrically feigning tiredness at the last corner whilst Symd rode by. I crumpled and dumped my docket showing Valverde for the stage win at 6s, later remembering it was a each way and I'd get my money back but sick in the knowledge I'd just watched a certain winner giving a stage out of "kindness" At the same time though I uncrinkled my Overall Classification betting docket from the same bin which after Wednesday's time trial looked dead and buried.

There's a couple of certainties coming up in the next few days. Valverde will win this Dauphine, that I am nearly assured of, Evans will not win this Tour, as he cannot attack alone and there are no time trials remaining and Contador has heavy legs and is saving his powder until July where I expect him still to be the major force in Le Tour. Outside of that it is anybody's game for a stage win today, tomorrow and Sunday and I will point to a number of reasons why I think that even though our tip Daniel Martin didn't show himself in brilliant lights yesterday, there is still a cause for hope today alone with one or two other riders.

Yesterday's stage was always going to be about who moved into the yellow jersey. The main protagonists were edgy and left no one bar 4 rank outsiders off early in the stage, eventually swallowing them up early in the climb. The mindset of the leaders was to chase everything, watch each other and not lose too much time early in the climb. It made no sense for anyone without a realistic chance in the GC to try and go for a stage win as there was too much at stake for the like of Evans, Valverde and Contador and it would have taken a super-human effort for anyone to have stayed away at the speed Valverde went up the climb. I think a lot of the younger riders were told to keep their powder dry until later, either today or tomorrow and Dan Martin i'm certain was one of them.

Martin put Valverde under pressure on every climb in the recent week long Tour of Catalunya. One could argue that Valverde wasn't at peak form and did enough to win that week but commentaries have disagreed on this instead highlighting the amazing ability of young Martin. When looking at yesterday's results it is hard to see how Valverde could put over six minutes into Martin given the recent result in Spain. Sure, there may be other arguments like Martin bulking in training for next month's Tour, feeling heavy legs because of it or that he was sick or even maybe that he was taking it all in with next month's Tour on his mind but I think that form yesterday is too bad to be true.

So with money to play with from the last two days results, I'm going to stick with the young Irish man in the hope that he gets into an early break which is left away and can show us what he produced in Spain only a month ago. As I've been picking two or three this week, I will also like to highlight the chances of the French rider David Moncoutie who climbed really well yesterday and who is so far behind on GC, could be allowed a lead early on the main climb Col D' Izoard. The other Astana mountain goat from Spain, Haimar Zubeldia Agirre, was another one to the fore yesterday and may be allowed some leeway as Alberto Contador does not seem interested in attacking his rivals. They're my three to follow today and hopefully it won't be a farcical result like yesterday.

Tips

All each way Value bets

Dan Martin 50/1 Paddy Power
David Moncoutie 22/1 Paddy Power
Haimar Zubeldia Agirre 28/1 SkyBet & bet365


CC

If you are interested in finding out more or want to read blogs and updates on all things Cycling check out www.thebike.ie  - please note this is not connected to Onthenoseinfo but might be of interest...




CYCLING UPDATE 11th June 2009 -

TODAY'S STAGE

The climb to the observatory at the top of Mont Ventoux has an almost mythical quality given the vast openess of the last few kilometres drawing comparisons to the surface of the Moon. Situated in Provence, although often climbed as part of the Dauphine Ventoux has featured less so in the Grande Boucle, Le Tour De France. It is a harrowing climb with temperatures often dropping a few degrees lower than sea level and winds that can reach gale force near the very top. It is this imposing edifice which greets the riders on today's 5th stage of the Dauphine Libere.

Riders to concentrate on are the mountain goats. Bookmakers have installed Alberto Contador as market leader knowing that he must make time on Cadel Evans if he is to win this year's race. However I expected to see more of Contador yesterday in the time trial and although not performing badly, he might have been expected to finish a little closer to Evans. Although an accomplished climber, the price about him today is too skinny for my liking.

Cadel Evans is a wheel sucker. Seemingly unable to attack own his own away from the main climbers in order to gain time he relies on takign time int he time trails and minimising losses on the climbs. His eyes will be focused squarely on Contador and all his moves today and unless yesterday's test took everything out of him it will be tough for the Spaniard to break Evans. This leads me to think that other notable climbers are in with a chance if an opening comes their way.

Alejandro Valverde must know that attacking is the only option available to him to win overall but again a tight rein will be put on him. My fear is that he can respond to anything for 90% of a climb but is found wonting when the hammer is really put down with consistent attacking. But with a likely breakneck pace by the Astana boys in the early parts, should Valverde stick with Contador and Evans further up the climb, he will win the stage today.

Today however, I will take the chance that a lowly overall placed rider with climbing ability will succeed in breaking from the peleton before the main climb. There are a few who fit the bill none other than Ireland's Daniel Martin. He showed himself in brilliant form readily breaking Valverde in the recent Tour of Catalunya and was in real fighting form up every climb. He's kept his powder dry all week and I expect him to feature at some stage in the next three days, hopefully today. He has raw talent going uphill and can now mix it with the big boys. Should he be allowed any leeway earlier in the climb, expect him to charge up that mountain quicker than anyone.

Another of today's riders placed third on this stage in 2007 and is a climber of mean repute. Igor Anton has had a reduced roster this year concentrating solely on the bigger races and at 26 is slowly coming into form. The Basque Euskatel team will look to place him in an early breakaway possibly and hope that he makes his best way to the finish alone. He has won in the Vuelta and the Tour of Switzerland and can mix it today with the better riders. One for the short list at a decent price.

It's a tough one to call with so many riders looking to the next three days of mountain climbing and not everything will be settled today. The overall classification could be due a shake up regardless with the climbers coming to the fore. Contador can attack and take back time and is more than capable but maybe he is still feeling the effects of heavy training over the past few weeks and is biding his time until July. Evans may just about hang on to his overall leader's jersey but don't be surprised to see younger riders like Martin and Anton to make their way up the G.C. following some decent displays today. Should Valverde be bang on song he will stay with and beat everyone to the finish but its all adds up to an exciting day in Southern France.

Tips

Each Way Value

Daniel Martin - 33/1 & 35/1 BET 365 and BETFAIR
Igor Anton - 18/1 Paddy Power (but as low as 9/1 in other bookies)
Alejandro Valverde 6/1 Paddy Power

CC


CYCLING UPDATE 10th June 2009 -

What a result we had today, four of my tips filling the first 5 places and a winner with Bert Grabsch the value bet at 10/1 hammering home with a stunning performance. It had looked like Evans would hold on to his slender lead going through time checks at half way but Grabsch finished best of all to beat Evans by seven seconds. As predicted, Evans moved into the yellow jersey of race leader but must surely face a massive test retaining that with the immense Mont Ventoux finish tomorrow. This climb is legendary most notably known as the mountain on which British rider Tom Simpson died, suffering from heat exhaustion brought on by amphetamines and alcohol in his system. Today's drugs are a bit more advanced and hopefully we can take that unknown out of our calculations for a stage winner tomorrow.

It's been a quite succesful start to the cycling site with notable wins in the Tours and solid placed efforts in the Classics. Alessandro Petacchi and Mark Cavendish thrilled us with their finishing exploits in Italy both tipped up to shine and duly obliging with two wins a piece. Cavendish is a virtual certainty in the sprint stages and hopefully will carry form through to next month's Grande Boucle Le Tour De France. Mountain wins for Carlos Sastre in the Giro provided another winner whilst the classic favourites Pippo Pozzato, Edvald Boassen Hagen and Tom Boonen duly obliged in the one day events.

Here is a list of tips and results

Dauphine Libere

TT Winner Bert Grabsch at 10/1

Giro D' Italia

Team Time Trial - Team Colombia mentioned as dangers to Garmin Slipstream - Finished in that order

Sprints - Petacchi rated as danger to Cav - both win two stages a piece

Mountains - Soler backed at 16s and comes home 4th, just caught on the line!! Sastre tipped as main danger on last mountain stage! Di Luca prominient all week!

Time Trials - Levi Leipheimer and Denis Menchov tipped up - First and Second in the main TT

Classics

Leif Hoste at 22/1 comes home third in Paris Roubaix after highlighting Tom Boonen's claims - Boonen wins!

Pozzato fifth at 10/1 in Tour of Flanders, Martijn Maaskjint 100/1 4th!!!

I'll be back with more tomorrow and in the next few weeks

Be Lucky

CC


CYCLING UPDATE 10th June 2009 -

Today's time trial in the Dauphine Libere should not throw up many surprises in that those on form in the prologue remain favourites for today and for overall honours. Given that the one-two on day one were Evans and Contador, it would be strange for either to under-perform today over the much longer 42 kilometre test.

However it is a power packed time trial stage and I have a few outsiders to consider before lumping on either Evans or Contador who will view the next four days in the mountains as places to eke time.

Bert Grabsch and Frantziek Rabon are the Columbia High Road form men in these tests and it is no surprise to see the former at the top end of the market in many bookmakers. Paddy Power's however have not jumped on the boat and are offering 10/1 about a win with three places paid each way. Given Grabsch's fine performance in the recent Bayern Rundfahrt where he put over 30 seconds into Linus Gerdeman, I would expect him to be near the head of the field for a long time until the main protagonists set off. The Czech, Rabon, on the otherhand is a power horse and won both time trial stages of this year's Tour de Romandie as well as finsihing third in Criterium International. Neither can be discounted in today's test and offer fantastic value against the front pair.

While I feel it unlikely that Evans and Contador will put major time into each other, I do expect the overall leadership to change and with Evans looking a little better in the stages to date, expect him to go back into the yellow jersey after tonight's stage. I think he has a good time trial in him today and I rate him as highly as the bookies do at 4/5 favourite. However my value goes with either Rabon or Grabsh upsetting the apple cart

Each Way Bets

Bert Grabsch 10/1 Paddy Power & 27/2 Betfair - WINNER, go collect!!!!!!!!!!
Frantisek Rabon 18/1 Paddy Power, Bet 365 & 29/1 !!!! on Betfair

All the best...CC

 


CYCLING INFO - 5th June 2009

The week-long Dauphine Libere has oft been used as preparation for the Tour De France with its Alpine stages mixed in with time trial tests and sprinting stages. Whilst nobody wishes to show their form too early ahead of the Grand Tour, it is often a classic indication of those on track for next month's extravaganza.

As the mountains show us the climbers, the time trial test mid week is a truer indication of the overall level of form of the competitors. In order to win this Tour one must show form in both tests with speed and power essentials for the time trial. Bert Grabsch ticks my boxes for both time trial tests but is not a likely winner of the Overall Classification

Alberto Contador is the overwhleming favourite for both this race and this year's Tour De France and it is easy to see why. He is an accomplished time triallist and can leave others for dead in the mountains. He has trained on the course in preparation for the Tour and will be very familiar with his surroundings in the coming week. However this time of year is all about endurance training and I would imagine that he has put some serious training spins in over the past few weeks which will just about bring him to the level required for next month's Tour. He might have heavy legs and could see this as another training race in preparation for July and with that in mind I am hoping that other week long specialists can take advantage.

Recent winner of the Tour of Catalunya, Alejandro Valverde has been found wonting in the bigger tours but is a major threat in the shorter week-long events and is second favourite to win this year's Dauphine. Ireland's Daniel Martin finished second to Valverde in Catalunya and was a constant threat in the mountains but Valverde survived with the support of his team. Valverde tops my list of favourites for this event on the basis that he is in top form recently and his prior placings in this event.

However the value bet of the race must be Germany's Linus Gerdeman winner of the recent Tour of Bavaria. Whilst not a major race, it nevertheless included some climbs and a long time trial which showed the young German to be in fine form. He has won in the Alps before in 2007 and will no doubt be able to compete in the time trial given his fine third place in the Bavarian Tour's test. At 40/1 with Boylesports, he must be entitled to go close to the top three and is my value selection for the Overall Classification.

I will be bringing you day by day reports on the stages with likely contenders for each stage. After a very successful Giro D' Italia in which I picked four stage winners and five each way placings, I will hope to continue the good trend right through to the Tour De France but in the meantime try and get your bets on early for this year's Dauphie Libere

Daupine Libere - Commences Sunday 7th June
Overall - Alejandro Valverde 10/3 with Boyle Sports
Each Way Value - Linus Gerdemann 40/1 with Boyle's also

Good luck, CC

CYCLING UPDATE 29th MAY 2009 -

D Day for Di Luca

Although the five seconds and time bonuses gained by Danielo Di Luca on Wednesday's stage of the Giro changed nothing in the way of the overall classification, Dennis Menchov must be sitting a little uneasy heading into today's final hilly stage with a mountain top finish on Mount Vesuvius, one of the only European volcanoes to have erupted in the past 100 years. Whether Di Luca can erupt over the steepest part of this climb remains to be seen but confidence must be with the little Italian given the events of Wednesday.

Di Luca sits twenty six seconds off Menchov but with a time trial finale where the Italian is expected to lose up to thirty seconds, Di Luca must distance himself from Menchov possibly early in the climb or at least make him suffer most of the way up it before unleashing hell over the final two kilometres. Di Luca will not have been too happy with compatriot Stefano Garzelli beating him for second on Wednesday with extra time bonuses on offer but it did give an insight into how Garzelli is riding on these steep finishes and should it come down to a battle between the main protagonists, the follicley challenged Italian is high on the short list for stage honours.

The race could be decided much early on though as a series of little climbs will ensure a splitting of the field. As seen over the past two weeks, riders low down on the Overall Classification have been attacking early and opening up large gaps and it's nailed on that this will happen again today. However the intensity of the peleton may keep the gaps to a minimum heading to the last climb and for me it will be a tooth and nail finish between the Italian Di Luca and the Russian Menchov.

Purely based on the fact that Menchov has been able to answer everything thrown at him, I expect him to resist all attacks again today and hold on to the pink jersey of overall leader. I think Di Luca will try everything to get away but his efforts may be negated and so for today's stage honours I will go with the other Italian climber and past winner Stefano Garzelli to win today's stage. With everyone looking at each other, Garzelli is too far removed to be considered an overall threat and may be able to escape alone. I also expect Carlos Sastre to show strongly up the final climb given that all hope of overall success is now evaporated.

Tip

Stefano Garzelli, danger Carlos Sastre

CC....




CYCLING UPDATE 27th May 2009 -

The Giro resumes after a well earned rest yesterday and we have time to reflect on the Tour to date and the stage to come in the hope of making a viable betting solution. Dennis Menchov has surprised me and answered all his critics with his performances both in the hills and in the time trial with a limited team. The Italians have been caught somewhat on the hop with his form and he is clearly the strongest. Di Luca tried unsuccessfully to break away from him a number of times up the very steep final climb on Tuesday but Menchov responded easily to each move and had the gall to sprint away from him in the end. It was well within his compass to sprint after Carlos Sastre however with Sastre more than two minutes back, energy was conserved in minding his bigger immediate threat, Di Luca.

We learned something more about the form of the English speaking contenders in Lance Armstrong, Michael Rogers and Levi Leiphemier with all three unable to muster enough reserves to stay with the pace when it mattered although surely the bigger prize for Armstrong is the Tour De France. He is without doubt riding into form for it considering he broke a collarbone only a few months back. Rogers and Leipheimer may be better for the Tour but the ship has sailed on their chances in this years Giro.

Others to note in this years Giro and with an eye to July and France are the sprinters. Our man Mark Cavendish stands head and shoulders above the crowd even if he did mess the first couple of stages up. He is a clear two to three bike lengths quicker than his opponents, that would be miles in any other discipline in road cycling. His team has the best lead out train and it is hard to see any what any opponent can do to beat him in the Tour De France.

So to today's relatively short stage, a 50 mile journey uphill. A stage coming after a rest day is a tricky one to call as some will still be in slumber from the day before whilst others take that fact on board and try and seize the initiative early. However with such a short stage and with the final mountain climbing to 2000 metres, the gloves may well and truly be off among the main contenders.

This is where Danielo Di Luca comes from and it would be a brave man to bet against him today. He's shown he can stay with the big boys climbing, he's got a wicked kick sprint finish and will be super motivated for todays win in his home region. With the added incentive of trying to put time into Dennis Menchov and the stone crazy tifosi on the final climb bank on Di Luca to lead them home ahead of Menchov and Sastre today.

Strong Tip Danielo Di Luca

CC...


CYCLING UPDATE - 25th May 2009

We have a monster stage today in the mountains and if Dennis Menchov can come though this with his main contenders, I cannot see him being broken for the rest of the week. Its a gruelling six to seven hours in the saddle over a course which has steep climbs and finishes on the steepest of all in this years tour. It's a pure mountain goat stage and for that reason I'll concentrate on those who have performed well in the hills to date, renowned climbers and the "form" men in this years Giro.

Top of the list in climbing ability is Juan Mauricio Soler who I have highlighted before and is not a threat to the overall classification thus making him a prime candidate for the stage today. With the main protagonsists looking at each other for weakness, an early attempt to break away on one of the steeper sections might be enough for Soler to cut loose and stay away to the finish. The young Colombian will have targetted this stage and if choosing his moment carefully, may well be able to capitalise on the nervousness of the others.

The Liquigas rider Franco Pellizotti has for me shown the best climbing boots of those vying for overall honours and and if he hits the front there will not be many who will stay with him. His surging attacks have brought limited success to date but he has made the leaders suffer and is sure to be primed for the stage. Only the likes of Carlos Sastre are able to match him for speed on the climbs and if the two worked together it might well be that the others couldn't follow.

Danielo di Luca will gain the most should Menchov not be able to go with the pace of Sastre and Pellizotti and this former winner certainly has the form to take back time today. I can see him following the attacks and forcing some of his own and wrestling back the jersey today. Menchov has suffered bad days in past Grand Tours and will be hoping today isn't one of them with the oppostion so strong in the hills. Di Luca lost the jersey in the time trial but did perform significantly better than was expected. He will have regrouped and seen today as the perfect day to gain back time.

Tips

For me it's the most exciting day of the Giro so far. The steep ascent to the finish is going to suit the climbers as mentioned and the time gaps are expected to be significant. I'm going to stick with Soler to win today's stage with Di Luca or Pellizotti capitalising if Soler doesn't get away early. Di Luca will take time off Menchov I expect and the overall leader jersey may change hands at around 4.30 this evening.

CC....


BELOW BUT FOR THE LAST WEEKEND OF THE FOOTBALL SEASON PROPER - HERE's CC's ANALYSIS - 22nd May 2009

It's the last weekend of the 2008/2009 football season and its tough to get excited about any of it unless you're a North Eastern England supporter, where any two of three could go down. In my opinion Newcastle cannot beat Aston Villa away, Middlesbrough without Stewart Downing are half of half the team they actually are and Sunderland might scrape through precisely because the former two are so poor. If I were to pick any two of four involved in the scrap, I would pick Newcastle and Middlesbrough to go down.

So to the other games and there are a few dreary games to be played to finish out the season. Neither Arsenal nor Stoke have anything to play for although Stoke might wish to cement their excellent first season in the Premiership by really trying for a result against a Big 4 club. Arsenal have been no great shakes recently but I cannot see them being troubled in this game at the Emirates.

Blackburn are home to relegated West Brom but the passionate if limited away team will want to sign off the season with a footballing tribute to their brilliant supporters - expect a dedicated performance from the leagues bottom club. Whether that is good enough to trouble Blackburn is another thing but they have been so poor this season, anything is possible.

Wigan play Portsmouth at the JJB and this has scoreless draw written all over it. Both are expecting massive transfer exits after tomorrow's game with the likes of Zaki and Valencia leaving Wigan and Glen Johnson being touted as Liverpool's newest wannabe.

And so to the other games. Liverpool have had a fine season and will wish to finish with their highest Premiership points total. Spurs are trying to qualify for Europe at Fulham's expense. Liverpool are on fire and even a misfiring Fernando Torres is not putting a stop to the goals being scored home and away by the Merseysiders. Gerrard is in inspiring form and must be good bet for a couple of goals in his forward position just off the striker, while Dirk Kuyt's recent run has been fantastic for a lad who was widely booed off the park last season.

Fulham face Everton at home with a win the least result required to keep the pressure on Spurs for Europe and Everton with a FA Cup final next week may be keen to rest a few players. I've been delighted to watch Fulham this season and their home record is fantastic so I think the balance may be in their favour tomorrow.

Anyway apart from next week's Champions League final, the Play-off Finals and the FA Cup, that's it for the season. Some highs and lows but I'll be back with a bang come August.

Tips

Fulham, Arsenal & Liverpool Treble

Steven Gerrard to score in 90 mins

Wigan/Portsmouth & Blackburn/West Brom - Draw Double

Villa, West Ham & Chelsea Treble

CC


MORE INFO FOR THE CYCLING.....22nd May 2009

Twenty seconds only separated first and second in yesterdays gruelling time trial with Dennis Menchov coming out on top of American Levi Leipheimer in what was a ding dong battle over the 60 kilometres. Menchov seemed more at ease with the two main climbs in yesterday's race and while he lost a little on the descents and flat sections of the course, he was clearly the strongest and the result was a fair reflection of both their abilities against the clock. Unfortunately I had gone with Leipheimer thinking that Menchov might not have been as charged up as the American but it was desperately close and we were a tad unlucky with the outcome.

It's Mark Cavendish all the way in today's mainly flat stage of the Giro. This is the last day for the sprinters and given the terrain of the final week, it would be no surprise to see a mass withdrawal of the peleton's fastest men after today. Both he and Alessandro Petacchi will be hoping to win their third stage in this year's Tour but strong preference is for Cavendish who seems to have got his act together after a desperate opening few stages. The Team Columbia lead out train is in full swing and with strength in depth with riders such as Edvald Boassen Hagen, the main lead out man, as strong and classy as any domestique I have seen in the past number of years, I cannot see past Cav today.

Of the other sprinters, Tyler Farrar has speed but is not in the same class as Cav whilst Alan Davis has been close but still a couple of bike lengths short of what's required at this level.

Strong Tip - Mark Cavendish in todays stage

CC.......


Cycling Update -

My apologies for the break in coverage of the Giro. Tomorrow's stage is as awesome as it is gruelling in that its man against clock over 60 kilometres of terrain that is as flat as the boils on a cyclist bottom. Its a time trial from hell and the time gaps could be massive and decide the overall winner even with a week and a half to go.

It will pay to concentrate on the men in form, namely those who have climbed well to date and have shown ability in time trials in the past. However given the make up of the race so far one cannot discount the leader at present, Danilo Di Luca even though battling against the clock is not his forte. Such has been the explosive power of Di Luca that even on the downhill run to the finish on Tuesday, he was able to put ten seconds into his opponents in the last three kilometres. That was a devastating turn of pedal by any reasoning and with a man in this kind of form it would be unwise to discount him despite his limitations against the clock.

Michael Rogers has won the World Championship Time Trial on no fewer than three occasions and can be ranked as one of the favourites even if the last of those wins came in 2005. His form on the mountain stages has been quite good if not mind blowing but in this test of endurance he is a solid tip for everyone's top three given his pedigree in this type of event. I'm not sure he has what it takes to win against this type of opposition though so I would not get too carried away with any short odds. A general 8/1 seems about right for his chance

Of the American contingent it would be unwise to look past Levi Leipheimer who is many people's idea of tomorrow's winner. This boy can move fast on his own and has the pedigree to be one of the favourites. The former skier has won many time trials most notably this year's Tour of California stage against the clock. He has wins in Paris Nice, last years Tour of Spain (Vuelta) and has a bronze medal at the 2008 Olympic Time Trial. Tomorrow's stiff test is right up his alley and he has the form to go with it.

The Italian Ivan Basso and the Russian Denis Menchov complete my other picks. Menchov is a solid time triallist and is in cracking form whilst Basso has not blown everyone away this year as expected but maybe he's been holding back for this event. He needs too as he fins himself a bit adrift in the overall classification.

One of my favourite time triallist is Fabian Cancellara and I think this power house will give a good account of himself. He's not been in the best of form lately though and for that reason it would only be a small bet on him at the 16s on offer.

For me its Levi Leipheimer even though the odds are incredibly short for him. If I were looking for improvement in form it would have to be Basso to come good and at 22/1 he could make the placings. Menchov should give Leipheimer most to do and Fabian Cancellara might go well at very decent odds.

CC


WEEKEND FOOTBALL - 16th May

Back with a bang it's Colin Coupon's Football Advice....

Stoke have been flying high since Christmas and against a tired and jaded Wigan side I cannot see past them winning comfortably and in the process keeping a clean sheet. James Beattie has been the quality Stoke needed and his much needed goals have brought them away from the brink and set them comfortably in mid table with games to spare much to everyone's surprise. I think Tony Pulis should be up there as manager of the season along with Ferguson and Hodgson.

Middlesborugh's fate could be sealed on Saturday but I am tempted to stick with them for this one game against another jaded team in Aston Villa. I thought Middlesboroguh were unlucky against Newcastle in that they looked the more likely to score when scores were level after the half time break. There is no getting away from the fact that they are a weak team but the Riverside will be their 12th man on Saturday and I think they just might scrape the much needed three points.

Tottenham and Man City is an interesting match with Spurs weakened in midfield with Palacios absent and a  Man City side just awful on their travels. I think it could be a goalfest but if if one were to look at the attacking threat I would fancy the away side that little bit more. However I'll stick with a draw.

Everton at Goodison is a near certain three points. West Ham were very poor last week and if Everton get an early goal I think this could be sown up by half time. Cahill and Felliani are strong and Jo is back in form and with no match winners in the travelling side I can't see past the Blues in their last home game this season.

Tips

Accumulator  - Wins for Everton, Stoke & Middlesborugh, Spurs/Man City Draw - No Joy Here...
Double - Everton & Stoke - WINNER........
Stoke - Clean Sheet - WINNER.............
Felliani to score in 90 minutes - No joy...

CC............


 

Update 14th May 2009 -

Yesterdays eye gougingly tough final ascent broke many hearts and gave us a firm indication of who was in top form and who could win the Giro overall. Denis Menchov looked strong out muscling Daniela Di Luca in the final few metres to take a good stage win and this must surely set him as one of the favourites for the overall crown. It was refreshing to see former world champion time trial champion Michael Rogers recover to finish only a few seconds behind and though there are tougher stages ahead, given his ability to shine in the time trials, he will no doubt be in the top three at the end of this gruelling three weeks.

However my man this year is Ivan Basso who looked so strong yesterday. His pressure burnt some of the better Itlaian climbers like Garzelli and Cunego whilst Armstrong went out the back quite early. The Liquigas team are good in the mountains and can bring Basso to the fore at the precise moment to cause the maximum pain. He is a decent time triallist and former under 23 World Road Race Champion, incidentally in the same year and course that Ireland's Mark Scanlon won gold at Junior level. I cannot se past him at present unless there is a major shock on the road or less surpringly he's done for drugs.

I was away yesterday but will return later tonight with a round up of the days events and a tip for the nex stage's racing. I have a feeling it will be a breakaway today with Jens Voight giving it another go. The main hill comes about 40 kilometers from the finish so we could se a re-grouping. Can we bet against Petacchi in a final sprint given his form? Can Cav recover?

On a side it made the news that Tom Boonen was caught again for cocaine use and is banned from competition for six months. If a professional athlete can engage in the recreational side of drug use, would you be sure he is ethically and morally on the right side of performance enhancing drugs? Sick when we think we backed Pippo Pozzato at 9/1 only to be shackled and Leif Hoste at 22/1 to be denied his rightful third place by this cocaine snorting juicer.

Todays Tips
Alessandro Petacchi or Jens Voight

Overall Giro D' Italia
Ivan Basso to beat Denis Menchov and Michael Rogers

CC


UPDATE 12th May 2009 -

I've never screamed so much for the line to come for our pick Juan Mauricio Soler in yesterday's fourth stage of the Giro. Soler bravely attacked with four kilometres to go but was quickly reeled in by a fast moving bunch of riders. He quickly recovered and took another chance as they passed under the two kilometre to go kite and looked to have evaded his pursuers until the dying strides only being passed by the fast finishing Danielo Di Luca (previously suspended for two years for drug taking) and Stefano Garzelli , another of my tips, eventually finishing fourth. I have to say that was sickening but it gives me hope for the rest of the mountain stages although the cat may well and truly be out of the bag. Nice to see the young Colombian back to somewhere near his form of 2007 and he is definitely one to look out for in the Tour de France.

Tomorrow sees another mountain top finish and should be a very good indication of those in top form. Today gave evidence of those struggling, none more so than Lance Armstrong who felt the pinch when the going got tough, albeit still finishing less than a minute down. Two riders who really gave a good account of themselves were the Swede Thomas Lokvist who moves into the leader's pink jersey and Australia's Michael Rogers who is been talked up as one of the main contenders for this year's crown. I was surprised to see Damiano Cunego finish so tamely today but perhaps he is saving himself for the 25 kilometre climb to the finish tomorrow when I expect all hell to break loose. The pre-race Italian favourites finished strongly and I expect to see more of Gilberto Simoni and Ivan Basso tomorrow. Previous winner Denis Menchov finished in the top ten as did American Levi Leipheimer.

I fancy some early skirmishes on the foothills of the main climb tomorrow and the likes of Soler to have an early go. If he is unsuccessful, don't be surprised to see the Liquigas team to the fore keeping an extremely high tempo all the way up the climb in the hope that only the main contenders are left. It could be a day for Gilberto Simoni who I expect to make his mark tomorrow and who looked so comfortable today. If todays winner Di Luca can stay with the speed at the front on tomorrow's harder finish then expect him to be in the shake up but all eyes surely will be on Ivan Basso and Liquigas as the favourite begins his assault on the overall classification.

Tip
Gilberto Simoni

CC


UPDATE 11th May 2009 -

The Giro has followed along predictable lines in its first three stages with Colombia and Garmin first and second in the time trial and Cavendish and Petacchi gunning for each other in the first of the sprint finishes. What was very surprising was that on Stage Three, most of the sprinting aces bar Cavendish got over the gritty last climb 16 kms from the finish. There was no indication that this would affect Cav any more than it would the other sprinters but he just didn't have the legs to get over the climb with the leaders. Petacchi showed us his form of old by winning again with my other tip Tyler Farrar behind in second.

Stage Four features the first mountain top finish in this years Giro with a climb to a resort in the Italian Alps. Although not a tough climb, the stage gives us an early indication of who has good legs and who might need to ride into form pretty quickly to figure in the final general classification.The gradient of each climb is not steep compared to climbs later in the event and may not as such suit the pure mountain goats. As it is quite early in the stage race, most of the protagonists for overall honours will surely watch each other which may allow for either a large group of favourites to finish together or for a lesser known rider or domestique to slip away unchallenged.

In the event of a bunch of the main men coming in together I think we can look to Damiano Cunego as one of the chief contenders to land the spoils in an uphill sprint finish. He has previously won the Giro and has strong credentials again this year featuring strongly in the Ardennes Classic races earlier this season. He has won the uphill Ardennes finishes in the past and can see off a likely challenge from Quinziato and Garzelli.

One of the pure mountain goats in this years race is Colombia's (this time the country!!) Mauricio Soler. He was outstanding in the Tour De France back in 2007 if but a bit accident prone. He has the ability to open a gap of one hundred yards uphill in a few seconds and is my tip for climbing honours overall in the tour following a disasterous injury ridden 2008. He will no doubt be building form for the Tour de France in July but has strong claims if back to the same level of form as 2007.

I'm hoping the mountain will come into play big time tomorrow and that those with the top form go for it as hard as they can. For that reason I'm picking Soler to break away and stay away against the field with Cunego and Garzelli coming in for minor honours in a larger group of favourites.

CC



GIRO d'ITALIA - Cycling's Tour of Italy - SATURDAY May 9th

The Tour of Italy celebrates its 100th year on Saturday and race organisers have made it a more gruelling test than seen in the modern era. Climbs feature early in the stage race this year and unlike the French and Spanish Grand Tours, there is a mountain finish in the first week on Wednesday. With this in mind I will wait til Wednesday evening before making any assumptions as to a likely winner.

The Tour kicks off on Saturday with a short Team Time Trial and for me only three teams are in contention for this stage, Astana, Garmin Slipstream and sprinter Mark Cavendish's Team Columbia who will feature prominently in stages during the week. Garmin won this stage last year by seven seconds over the now defunct Team CSC. It is easy to see why they might well start as favourites for this years also with time trial specialists such as Bradley Wiggins, David Zabriskie, Christian Vande Velde, Danny Pate and of course David Millar (an old Junior adversary of mine). They will be hard to beat but Astana will surely be better than last year seventh now with the inclusion of in-form Levi Leipheimer and the returning Lance Armstrong.

Both Sunday's and Monday's stages are days for the sprinters and its all eyes on our favourite Manxman Mark Cavendish. The fastest man on two wheels is more than capable of landing all the flat spint stages but there are only two to contest this week. He has been beaten this year which gives us some pause for thought but with Daniele Bennati injured, we have to look at the other Italian Alessandro Petacchi for Cav's likeliest competition. I believe Petacchi's best days are behind him but he is still a major threat on these two flat stages. Garmin's Tyler Farrar has beaten Cavendish this year but not consistently and Allan Davis finished fourth to Cav in Milan San Remo and so should give a good account of himself in both stages and is a likely each way candidate.

Come back Monday evening for updates on the very tough Tuesday and Wednesday stages

Tips

Stage One
Garmin Slipstream to win TTT

Stage Two
Mark Cavendish
Danger Alessandro Petacchi

Stage Three
Mark Cavendish
Danger Tyler Ferrar
CC...



WEEKEND ACTION - 18th April 2009

Funny that out of 180 competitors in cycling I can predict who'll be in the top five but out of two football teams I contrive to get it wrong. However, we have been woefully unlucky. None more so than last week where Arsenal did the business in style, Bristol led until the 84th minute, conceded a penalty, got a man sent off, and then left in two late goals, whilst high fliers Birmingham were awful against bottom team Charlton drawing nil all. Hopefully we can get a good run of fortune this weekend.

Reading have been in shocking form of late but must hope they can put some of those results to bed by beating Barnsley in tomorrow's Championship. Reading are very nervy at present and only need to go a goal behind to lose confidence as has been the case over the past couple of months Top striker Kevin Doyle needs an injection to play and Rosenior among others is a welcome return. However I think an early goal will settle them and they can get their campaign back on track.

Barnsley haven't registered a win in a month and although they have no injury worries, the squad must be reeling from some inept perfomances that drags them back to the mire.

Coventry have had a barren spell in front of goal and I think this trend will continue away to relegation fighting Notts Forest. The Reds battled last week to gain a very late winner and showed there is mettle through their ranks by coming from behind twice in that game. I fancy them to keep up the pressure on Southampton and Charlton with Barnsley likely to be beaten.

Arsenal are in cracking form and are really playing some glorious positive football. For all Chelsea's qualities their defence has been weak in the past couple of games. I think this can be exploited in full by Wenger's charges as Arshavin didn't play mid week - so will be fresh, Fabregas is in top form and Adebayor is scoring again. With Arsenal coming through what many would suggest an easier fixture unscathed, I see a power packed performance at Wembley.

2 point Treble

Reading, Notts Forest, Arsenal

8/13, 10/11,  21/10

Return for 2 points  - 19.12

Be Champions

Colin Coupon


EASTER WEEKEND ACTION - 9th April 2009

The return of Cesc Fabregas and Adebayor has brought a new impetus into Arsenal. In truth they could have won their Champions League fixture and should have beaten Man City by more than two goals. It's been quite a while since this team had lost and their creativity in attack knows no bounds, so much so that star man Robin Van Persie was scarcely missed last week.

Wigan are a good side under Steve Bruce and have top form in their home fixtures. They are a tough tackling, tough to break down side with a little creativity in the form of Valencia, however I cannot see them troubling Arsenal this Saturday and must back the away team as part of my treble.

Birmingham are the form team in the Championship at present. I normally shy away from teams playing the bottom sides as normally they are galvanised into achieving points at any cost and Charlton will be no better . However such is the difference in class that I think it will be a comfortable away win.

Notts Forest are back in trouble and face a tricky home tie to Bristol. Bristol have to go back to February for their last away win which makes this a tricky tie to predict. Forest have just been plain brutal home and away and look like a team who've given up the ghost. I'm sticking with another away result in my treble at the odds on offer.

2 point bet

Arsenal, Birmingham & Bristol City

8/1

CC


 

 

MIDWEEK ACTION 7TH APRIL 2009 -

Champions League Advice

We cannot look much past the English teams in this years Champiopns League with doubts over most of the oppostion and with the draw favouring Manchester United bid to retain the Cup.

Tonight sees the Devils host a poor Porto side albeit with the second highest scorer in the campaign so far in Lopez. United's defense will be without Ferdinand but welcome back Vidic who should have enough to contain any attacking Porto threat.

Ronaldo did nothing on Sunday against Villa but still came away with two goals. On the basis that United will come into this game with renewed confidence and with many of the first team regulars returning I fancy United to bang in a lorry load ofv goals tonight, not leaving anything to chance for the next leg.

Bets

1 point bets on
United -2 handicap (Paddy Powers 3/1)
Ronaldo to score two goals or more (Paddy Power 5/1)

CC


WEEKEND FOOTBALL 4th April 2009 -

My apologies for the little holiday I took coinciding with the Cheltenham festival but I'm back until the bitter end with a clean slate.

I predict goals goals and more goals with the return of the Premiership and we need look no further than in form teams Arsenal and Liverpool as the pick of the bes this weekend.

Arsenal headed into the international break with a resounding victory against teak tough oppponents Blackburn at home and Newcastle away amassing seven goals. One of the worst travelling teams Man City could not have picked a worse time to travel to the Emirates as an on form Van Persie and clinical new signing Arshavin finding form. Man City may be without instrumental centre midfielder Stephen Ireland with creativity hard to come by. Two good footballing teams however I expect Arsenal to go to town on Man City.

Arsenal

-2 handicap - 1 pt 9/2

Liverpool are just hammering goals home and away and with assured displays midweek in their respective internationals, Steven Gerrard and Fernando Torres will prove too much for this Fulham side. This side is a shadow of the team that played out a goalless draw in November against this opposition and a win will push the Pool to top of the Premiership. With that in mind and with Gerrardf Kuyt and Torres in blistering form over the international break, I can see Liverpool going to town on this team.

Liverpool -1 Handicap 7/4  generally - 1 point
Gerrard to score anytime 13/8 Coral Bookmakers - 2 points

CC


 

APOLOGIES TO ALL AS NO FOOTBALL ADVICE WHILST CC's HOLIDAY CONTINUES.....BACK SOON....


Weekend Action 7th March 2009 -

The League of Ireland returns tonight and it might be worth it to take a punt on
the three Dublin teams in action , St Pats at home, Bohemians away and Shamrock Rovers away at Bray Wandererers.

Rovers started the season brightly last season while St Pats have a fairly suitable opening game. Dunadalk return to the top flight for the first time in 8 years and in Bohemians face a difficult opening to their campaign,

Recommendation

1 point Treble - 3 Dublin Teams to win tonight in Eircom League

The FA Cup returns tomorrow but there are some choice games to look at in the Championship and League One.
The Seagulls tamed the Wolves last weekend and followed up with a decent win mid week. Can Plymouth continue against Reading this weekend? On the basis that we follow teams in form then I'll take them at decent odds.

Notts Forest are still in the relegation mire whilst Swansea are still playing well enough to consider them as Play-Off contenders. I'm a huge fan of Swansea's sleek attacking football, crisp passing and Latin flavour thus I'll again stick with them although they are finding a few too many draws over the past few weeks and need to get their head in front early doors.

Charlton are all over the place and relegation seems a forecasted certainty unless they start winning games. In what is a bottom of the table clash I can see Watford coming out on top but in fairness both are as bad as each other. A draw is the most likely which won't suit either team.

Bets

1 point Double Swansea & Plymouth

2 point draw Charlton - Watford

Bet lucky! CC


Midweek Football - 3rd March 2009

Anyone fancy Arsenal to score tonight? I don't and the 6/1 on offer about West Brom at home tonight is too tempting to pass up with the return of playmaker and captain Jonathon Greening plus the absence of William Gallas a major plus against a confidence bereft side.

League One promotion hopefuls MK Dons are away tonight and I expect them to carry on winning games right til the end of the season. As favourites for this battle, 6/5 is a decent price to back them at considering the superb draw with League leaders Leicester at the weekend.

Doncaster continue to confound the critics and have moved safely clear of the bottom of the Championship. At 9/5 they represent tremendous value and should be backed even though away from home.

Scunthorpe have been diabolical of late and their opponents tonight Walsall are no great shakes but I fancy them to shake up the home team. At a general 4/1 they are great value.

Championship rivals Reading and Wolves have been in very poor form of late and both face difficult away ties tonight. I'm going to back against them again as Sheffield Wednesday and Crystal Palace have enough in the locker to put these teams away. Same can be said about a resurgent Watford who should be able to account for Plymouth away from home.

Bets -

1 point Treble

West Brom (6/1), MK Dons (6/5) & Doncaster (9/5)

return : 43.12

1 point Treble

Walsall (4/1), Sheffield Wednesday (9/5) & Crystal Palace (13/8)

Return : 36.75

1 point Treble

Bristol Rovers (4/6) Watford (9/5) & Sheffield Wednesday (9/5)

Return : 13.07

Good Luck - CC


Weekend February 28th
 
Bolton, Blackburn, Swansea ,Wolves
 
Peterboro, Leeds, Tranmere
 
My teams to look at this weekend with some in cracking form and with great prices available. Swansea have been my choice pick for a few weeks now and they've not failed me. They've lost once in the League since October and are a must for any combination. Bolton have looked solid at home and Megson knows how to win games at home. My banker double of the weekend.
 
Peterboro have climbed to third in the League and with some of the big guns facing each other they will fancy their chances to close the gap and move into second in League One. Leeds have been up and down this season but are good at home and I fancy them to account readily for poorer opposition. My third in a very backable treble is Blackburn who travel to Hull on the back of a good performance against Man United last week. Hull's record at home in recent months has not been great and Blackburn are too good a team to be in the relegation dog fight.
 
My final home double is Bristol Rovers and Tranmere both at home. Bristol ahve been in brilliant form recently whilst Tranmere can continue their good form at home and bring me back the bacon!
 
Bets
 
2 point Double Bolton EVS & Swansea 8/13
 
1 point accumulator Blackburn 8/5, Peterboro 4/6,  Leeds 10/11
 
1 point Double Bristol Rovers 2/1  & Tranmere 8/11
 
Good luck from CC....
 
 

Midweek Champions League Last 16
 
English teams to make a hash of it.
 
I can't with any confidence say that Arsenal or Liverpool can come through their ties unscathed although United may have enough in hand to worry The Special One's Inter Milan.
 
2 point Man Utd & Real Madrid Win
 
1 point Arsenal/Roma & Lyon Barcelona Draw Double
 

 
Weekend - 21st February 2009
 
Chelsea travel to Aston Villa hoping to resurrect their season under new management (albeit short term). However this game has all the trappings of a draw. Chelsea have not been at their most fluent in recent weeks and Villa have been quite good both at home and on the road against weaker opposition. In what could be a dour encounter I'll take the 5/2 on offer for the draw as each side will cancel each other out.
 
Stoke need to win games at home and must have been eye-balling this weekend's opponents Porstmouth in view of their season's poor form. Taking the Man City game out of the equation, Pompey have been very lax in defence and making errors never seen in Redknapp's time there. It remains to be seen whether they can re-group and fend off relegation but in what will undoubtedly be a scrappy encounter, another draw is a likely result with slight preference to Stoke on top through the game.
 
Coventry have been in rare good form at the moment and promotion seekers Birmingham travel down in a midlands derby. Birmingham are a tough team in the last few weeks after a stuttering January and I can see them holding the home team once again in a low scoring draw.
 
I've not been impressed with League One leaders Leicester in the past few games. They've done things the hard way, snatching draws from the jaws of defeat and victory in equal measure. Bristol Rovers have been in good form of late and its another result I can see going to the wire.
 
Home bankers this weekend come in the shape of Man United, Liverpool, Arsenal & Fulham
 
 
Bets - all returns with Boylesports
 
1 point Draw Double
 
Villa /Chelsea & Stoke/Pompey 
 
Return: 10.88
 
1 point Accumulator
 
Man Utd, Liverpool, Arsenal & Fulham
 
Return: 4.75
 
1 point Draw Double
 
Bristol/Leicester & Coventry/Birmingham
 
Return: 10.73

Colin Coupon


 

Midweek Football Tuesday / Wednesday February 17/18th 2009 -

Let's get the weekend out the way - I cursed David Martin of Millwall from a height as his dismissal after 65 minutes proved disasterous for our Treble. All selections held two goal advantages with ten minutes remaining so we seemed certain to collect at 15/1. However 10 man Millwall could not hang on conceding two late sloppy goals. A memorable day turned sour only to be a litle brightened by our Double coming off with a little bit of ease. Burnley are tough at home and with Wolves lacking confidence at present, the 13/8 on offer was a steal. Doncaster are in fine form and have a run of form that should ensure their survival in the Championship. They never looked in any doubt.
 
Looking ahead to this week, there are some stand out bets on offer. In the Championship, Swansea travel to Watford in fine form and very unlucky not to be safely in the next round of the Cup whilst Derby have an easier task at home to Blackpool than their weekend fixture against Manchester United.
 
Peterborough are in fine form in League One and travel to Tranmere whilst Leeds travel to struggling Hereford with the playoff places back in sight.
 
Bets
 
0.25 pt Yankee (Total 2.75pts)
 
Peterboro, Leeds, Swansea & Derby - Total Return 25.35

Good luck

Colin Coupon

 


Weekend Football - Saturday February 14th

F.A Cup time again and we have to be having a shot at it. Some stand out bets on offer and hopefully we'll see more than a positive return on the selections.

Once again, I can't get away from Swansea. Unbelievable results in the past 15 matches, the Welsh side are eating up points in the Championship and now look ahead to a FA Cup game against one of the Premiership's worst traveling teams,Fulham.
The team is underrated, the venue is awful but the result will be forthright. It's a home win

I really fancied Sheffield United last week to take their city rivals Sheffield Wednesday. However only one team turned up and it wasn't the Blades. Can they recover in time to progress through to the next round? I don't think so. Hull on the other hand are buoyant after a deserved draw against Chelsea, a game which they could have won but for poor finishing. Phil Brown's side are no mugs and this is a game which I expect will be put to bed early doors and see them safely through to the next round.

West Ham in my mind have to be the bankers of the round. Middlesborough just can't score. With great performances against the like of United, Liverpool and Chelsea, in addition to the rich vein of form their hungry striker Carlton Cole is in, I can see the tie going only one way.

CHAMPIONSHIP

I thought Wolves were made of sterner stuff but I've been proved wrong in the last few weeks. They must be dreading going to an inform Burnley side flying high from their Cup Run. Burnley know what it takes to win matches and have proved their staying power against Premiership class and I expect them to take against a nervous Wolves side tomorrow.

I hope everyone has followed my love of Doncaster in recent weeks. Undeniably brilliant!! How can a bookie disregard them so much - they're up there with Swansea on Championship form teams. Odds of 3/1 were available last week at the off and they duly obliged despite falling behind early.Who are we to back against them? Home Win!

How I was sickened by 10 man Oldahm keeping League leaders Leicester at bay last week! I have to follow them this week at home, its a cert that they'll produce some more magic, at least defensively. Millwall should be better than their performace against Leeds, whilst Leeds travel to Huddersfield looking to regain their early season form. However their main striker and talisman is suspended so I'll bypass them in favour of Carlisle who seem back in form.

BETS

1 point Treble - Swansea, Hull, West Ham (General 13/8, 15/8, 5/6) 13.84 return on one euro stake

1 point Double  - Burnley, Doncaster (General 13/8 & 5/4) 5.91 return on one euro stake

1 point Treble Oldham Millwall, Carlisle (General 8/11, 15/8, 11/5) 15.89 return on one euro stake

Be Lucky!


Colin Coupon

 


Weekend Football  - 7th / 8th February 2009

Unfortunately West Brom's late equaliser last week was curtains for my 5 timer. Players were rested midweek in light of the fact that the home fixture to Newcastle could prove a six pointer in the battle to stave off relegation. There was a lot to like about their play against Hull last weekend and I fancy them to score in this fixture with Newcastle's porous defence. With the away team, it's hit and miss and I do not think they have the capacity to score away from home. That said they will battle and a draw is a very likely outcome, however, West Brom are my pick at the prices.
 
Liverpool are buoyed by the great result against Chelsea at the weekend where they were by far the dominant team. They travel to Portsmouth at the weekend and I cannot see how they can possibly slip up again, unless Benitez really tinkers with the team. Torres hit form last week and I expect him to provide us with a masterclass against the League's worst defence in recent months.
 
Robbie Keane's return to White Hart Lane may prove the catalyst in Spurs' ever depressing season. Whilst Arsenal play better football, there is a lack of penetration and I expect Spurs to defend a little better in this bitter North London Derby. Whilst it might be stretching it to see a Spurs win, I think a draw is the likely outcome.
 
Championship
 
I see some banker home ties this weekend and can't help but have a cut of a long price accumulator.
 
Swansea are in top form and are one of my favourite selections. Reading have not failed to score at home all season, whilst Sheffield United can come out top in their home derby. Notts Forest are home to QPR and can continue their recent good form.
 
Two striking away bets come in the form of Doncaster (on a fine run) and Cardiff (league's form team) who I fancy to account for their weak oppostion.
 
Weekend Bets
 
1pt Win Treble - approx return on a one euro stake 12/1
West Brom 5/4, Liverpool 4/5 , Spurs-Arsenal Draw  23/10 - All prices with BET 365
 
0.25pt Win Acca  - approx return on a one euro stake 27/1 
Everton 8/11 , Swansea 11/10, Reading 4/6, Sheffield United 5/6 & Notts Forest 6/4 - All Prices at Boyles

0.25pt Win Double - approx return on one euro stake 8/1
Cardiff & Doncaster 5/4 & 5/2 with Boyles

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert


 

 


Weekend Football 31st January/1st February 2009 -

Blackburn Rovers might just be a team coming into a bit of form under Sam Allardyce. In all truth, they conceded two sloppy early goals against Bolton, but the manner of their come back suggests a team willing to play for their manager. On Saturday they travel to Middlesborough who seem off form. Southgate does not appear to know his best strike force having dropped Alves and Tuncay at Chelsea for the on loan Marlon King. With that in mind and their generally poor results over the past few months, I'm edging towards an away win at the prices on offer.
 
Swansea are in top shape and there's no fluke about that. They've racked up some brilliant results against Reading in the League and Portsmouth in the Cup and would seem value for goals after rifling home four only a couple of days after their FA Cup triumph. No reason to shy away, I see them battling to another win away to an out of sorts Southampton.
 
Leicester continue to fly high in League One and they travel to Northampton seeking to extend their margin at the top of the table. Their recent form has been impressive, the Foxes making sure they have enough in hand to enjoy the last couple of months of the season, ten points now the difference.
 
Advice -
 
0.5pt Win Treble - Blackburn, Swansea, Leicester ( 21/10 & 13/10 & 1/1 Coral)
 
0.25pt Win 5 Team Acca - Homes Wins - Man Utd, Hull, Fulham, Burnley, Wolves (4/11, 5/4, 1/1, 7/10 & 4/7 Coral)
 
0.25pt Draw Treble - Cardiff- Notts Forest : QPR-Reading : Newcastle-Sunderland ( 13/5, 12/5 & 12/5 Skybet)
 

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert

 



Midweek Football 27th/28th January 2009 -

A last gasp equaliser from Burnley quashed our treble on Saturday and so the misery continues. However it's back to the Premiership for us and hopefully a return to winning ways.
 
Spurs are all over the place at the moment and even Harry Redknapp is questioning the team. Stoke were resolute against both Liverpool and United and could prove a stern test for the home team. I fancy taking Spurs on and a draw will be avery good result for Stoke who have Ricardo Fuller back. If you remember back in October, Stoke won a hotly contested and slightly unusual match with two Spurs players sent off and Vedran Corluka coming off second best to his own keeper's challenge, knocking him out! With more composure that day, Fuller could have had a hat-trick. Spurs were better at the weekend but I fancy Stoke to nick a point.
 
Fulham were very poor against West Ham in their last League meeting but are a consistently strong defensive outfit and I hope Pantsil and Co can tame the misfiring duo of Jones and Cisse at Sunderland's Stadium of Light. I think a close dour game is on the cards and expect Fulham to gain another point even though their record away from Craven Cottage is dismal.
 
Portsmouth are in a right mess and it won't be long before Adams faces the firing squad. Their League form is terrible and the FA Cup exit was disastrous. Aston Villa are without Ashley Young and may lack that creative flair although the hard working Barry and Sidwell should control midfield enough to create chances for Agbonlahlor. I fancy Villa to come out on top.
 
Stephen Ireland returns for Man City and I expect them to shake up Newcastle who may have sold Given by the end of the week to their Wednesday night opponents.
 
Looking further down the Leagues, a host of winners from Saturday return to home action, Swansea, Watford and Sheff Utd all hosting form teams though, so I'll omit them from any bets.
 
Reading host Wolves in a top of the Table Clash which should have a bearing on the overall title race. I fancy Reading at home again.
 
Advice
 
0.5pt Draw Double Spurs-Stoke & Sunderland-Fulham (14/5 & 9/4 both Paddy Powers) - no return for us as Spurs and Sunderland notch wins..
 
1pt Treble Man City, Aston Villa & Reading ( 8/11  & 13/10 & 23/20 William Hill) - WINNER - superb take for us here with three solid wins and a welcome boost....

 

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert


Weekend Football 24th/ 25th January 2009 -

The FA Cup dominates football proceedings this weekend and there are a few standout games that we can get involved with.
 
Millwall are lying third in League One and face an out of sorts Hull team with a few familiar faces missing this weekend. It's the FA Cup and anything can and does happen and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see the League One outfit getting a result. At 5/1 they are overpriced but I can see draw written all over it at 11/4 with a few goals thrown in.
 
Middlesborough's only hope of salvation this season is a good Cup run so they will not have been pleased when the draw was made for the fourth round. Wolves are in cracking form and although they might be content to rest a few players so that their promotion run continues, I see them beating a poor Boro side.
 
West Ham are in great form and should account for Hartlepool, while Sheffield United play the team with the poorest form in the Championship, Charlton at home. West Brom are playing well at home and should beat a tired Burnley.

Advice -

1pt Draw - Hull City v Millwall - 11/4 General 

1pt Wolves to beat Middlesborough - 6/4 Stan James / Coral

0.5pt Win Treble West Ham, West Brom & Sheffield United - 8/11, 4/5 & 8/13 Coral

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert



 

Football Blog 20th Janaury 2009

To say I'm sick after the weekend results would be an understatement. Late goals once again were my undoing as well as some outlandishly poor performaces by contenders in all the divisions. Maybe its back to the drawing board and back the 1/3 and 2/9 shots to gain momentum but luck changes and some of the results are better than the bare facts.
 
Take for example Luton Town beaten 5-1 by Darlington who I tipped up in my accumulator. Half an hour gone and possession stats read Luton with 85% possession, ten shots, eight off target. Darlington, 15% possession, four shots on target, 4 goals scored. Finally just before half time Luton get a goal back and then go ont o dominate the second half but concede again. I was wrong, but what the hell happened!
 
Reading played poorly and were made pay, surprising in that they had so much to gain. Beaten by Swansea is a terrible result and makes me believe that it will be their home form that keeps them in the Championship race.
 
Doncaster at just under 3/1 confirmed my suspicions that they're too good to be in a relegation battle winning for the first time at Southampton in 50 years. I'll be following them closely as I will Notts Forest who seem to be getting a move on and are a team in form.
 
Wigan were again a poor side against a ten man Man City team. Their problem is converting chances, and maybe three games in a week for a small squad was asking too much. Still they're a handful and at home to Liverpool this weekend on a cut up pitch, they might prove some value again.
 
Which leaves me with my biggest disappointment over the weekend MK Dons. Cruising to a two goal lead before half time, punters were counting their millions before an unexplainable collapse in the second half. conceding three. Even then they still had nearly ten chances to score and failed miserably. I was sick and tired after that one especially as Donny had come through and we were looking at an 8/1 double.
 
Liverpool put the icing on the cake by skillfully wasting an opportunity to go back on top with three minutes remaining and completing a disasterous week for our punters. Time to cry all over again.
 
So onwards and upwards and faith must be restored with some resounding performances by selections.
 
It's a funny ole game but this weekend was no laughing matter.
 
Colin C.


Weekend Football January 17th/18th -

I like my doubles, trebles and accumulators and love to see value for an in-form team playing away from home more than I love red-sauce sandwiches. I really like ketchup sandwiches.

Bearing that in mind some of the form teams down through the divisions are playing away from home this weekend and I can't help but have a little cut at a four-timer. I'll take one from each division to jazz the bet up and then my four favourite picks which can be yankeed into singles, doubles & trebles.

Man City have been woeful although their best form has been at home in the League. That said, I've a feeling they will come undone by a Wigan team I've seen playing twice this week with some real talent in their squad. Wigan thoroughly deserved their win against Tottenham at the weekend and were a stern test to United on Wednesday night. In my opinion they are overpriced at 13/5 to beat City.

Reading have the bit between their teeth and can close the gap on Wolves who kick off later on Saturday to just one point. Anyone who watched them play against Watford last Friday can't have been but impressed at their 4-0 thrashing. At 11/8, Reading will keep their promotion chances alive by beating Swansea.

MK Dons are a cracking bet. Although their home form is awry at times, traveling away is their forte winning five on the bounce. Look no further than the 11/8 available.

Luton are bottom of League Two and just hit 0 points after a crippling points deduction at the start of the season. Their away form has been consistent and they represent tremendous value at 16/5 to bring them into positive figures this season.

Advice:

4 Team Win Accumulator 0.25 points

Wigan 13/5, Reading 11/8, MK Dons 11/8, Luton 16/5 - sadly no joy here

Looking at Bolton versus Manchester United at the Reebok I can't help but feel that Bolton are massively overpriced for this game. United are without Rooney and Tevez up front whilst their defence is torn to pieces with injuries to Evra, Brown, Evans & Ferdinand. Going to Bolton is not an easy task and at 7/1 or bigger they are a serious bet to consider. However I'll tread cautiously on this one and omit this week.

My bets this week as well as the accumulator

1 point Double MK Dons & Doncaster (11/8 & 12/5) - frustrating results for us

1 point Double Liverpool, Arsenal (8/13 & 4/6) - Late equaliser scuppers us again.....

1 point Double Reading & MK Dons ( Both 11/8 ) - never looked like coming off and we move on...

All prices at Boyles.

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert


Weekend Football January 10th / 11th -  

I've been close but no cigar in my bets but still show a profit after December trading. I tend to stay clear of betting on FA Cup games as the odds are generally too prohibitive for the Big teams and with no guarantee of motivation for a game away from the money league.
 
Looking to the weekend action, Reading look a safe bet to maintain their fine record at home but again at short odds. Value over the weekend could come in the form of backing draws and one match takes the eye in England's North-east where strugglers Middlesborough play host to Sunderland in a bitter derby tussle.
 
West Ham's form of late has been inspiring despite their perilous financial situation with rumours of players transferring to nearly every other club. Provided they remain for the weekend, Bellamy back from suspension and Scott Parker playing close to his previous best, should ensure an away win against a dire Newcastle outfit - a definite for everyone's combinations.
 
Manchester United have to go back to the middle of November for a winning margin of more than a goal in the League at home. Although winning their last six games at home, most have been lacklustre performances. Chelsea are the League's best away outfit and this game which will provide its usual jinks and reels will surely peter out into a low scoring draw based on form to date.
 
Advice
 
2 points West Ham to beat Newcastle away (best price 5/2 Paddy Power, Boyles, BlueSq) - Late Newcastle equaliser costs us a nice pay out...
 
1 point Draw double Midds/Sunderland & Man Utd/Chelsea (best price 23/10 & 11/5 Paddy Power) - Utd ran riot to ruin our day here....

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert


Sunday 28th December 2008

Lots of festive football again and I fancy three teams to produce the goods. Liverpool away to Newcastle is a good starting point. Liverpool are red hot at present with a re-ignited Robbie Keane up top they should have too much for the Toon despite their impressive home record lately. In the Championship there is a lowly clash between Norwich and Notts Forest and it's hard to see Norwich having too much trouble in taking the measure of their visitors here. The final game for the treble is Doncaster to topple Burnley also in the Championship, a tight game but Rovers at home looks the call at the prices on offer.

Advice

1 point win Treble - Liverpool 4/5 , Doncaster 23/10 and Norwich 11/10 ( All prices Bet365 ) - Two out of three not enough for us today...

 

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert


Boxing Day Football - 26th December 2008

Coca Cola League 1 - Leeds Utd v Leicester 3.00pm

Leicester travel to Leeds on Boxing Day unbeaten in their last 8 matches, form which has taken them four points clear at the top of League One. Although Leeds form has been quite good at home with four wins out of their last six league games, I fancy the Foxes to come out on top at a backable 13/8 ( general ).

Premiership - Middlesbrough v Everton 3.00pm

Seemingly unable to win at home, Everton travel to Middlesbrough with four away wins in their last six league games. Middlesbrough blow hot and cold home and away - their point gained at home against a decent Arsenal team negated by a thumping at the hands of in form Fulham. At a general price of 7/4 ( general ) Everton look good value to maintain their impressive away record.

Anytime Scorer Value - Championship

Whilst I was off the mark with my goal scorers last week, there is some value in the lower leagues for first time scorer, no more so than on fire Noel Hunt for Reading. At 11/2 for first goal and an attractive 7/4 any time scorer ( both prices at Bet 365) , this bet must simply be a must.

Advice

1 point win double Leicester 13/8 and Everton 7/4 ( General / also note prices both currently both at Bet 365 )

1 point Noel Hunt to score in 90 mins 7/4 ( Bet 365 )

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert

 


Weekend Football - 20th December 2008

Premiership - West Ham v Aston Villa, 5.30pm Sat

Aston Villa at 11/8 ( general ) to beat West Ham away looks value - free scoring last week against a mean Bolton defence and four wins away from home in their last six they have definite pretentions of Champions League football next season. Villa will be looking to pull away from Arsenal in the race for the coveted fourth spot and we think they will take another stride forward on Saturday. 

Agbonlahor looks the main goal threat and can be backed at 2/1 ( Boyles ) to score anytime over the 90mins

Premiership - Newcastle Utd v Spurs, 3.00pm Sun

Newcastle can't do anything wrong at St James Park and are unbeaten there since September in the League. Spurs travel North this weekend in mixed form and their forwards miss-firing. 13/8 ( Boyles ) about the Toon Army looks too good to pass up. Michael Owen continues his recent resurgence showing some of the class of old and has three goals in his last two league games at 13/8 ( Boyles ) to score anytime over the 90mins we think this is worth second inspection.

Advice

1.5pt win double Aston Villa 11/8 and Newcastle 13/8 - WIN....  profit 7.85pts

0.5pt win double Agbonlahor 2/1 and Owen 13/8 to score anytime over 90mins in their respective games - Loss 0.5pts

Be Lucky,

Colin Coupon

Resident Football Expert

 

 
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