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Our Ante-Post Blog's Below - also the home ( for now ) of Chuck McSherrif's Breeders analysis...for what it's worth!


Posted 5th January.....

MCR Hurdle - Leopardstown 9th January 2011

Traditionally a tricky race to solve but some smart types have risen from this race and spotting the potential blots from lots of likely types is not easy.

Prima Vista heads the market but is very short for such a race and is not my idea of any value at present in what will be the usual jostle and charge round the final bend. The penalty to be carried is right but he wouldn't have got in the race without it and has an obvious chance without being any kind of betting material before the day.

I like to take an early stab before the weekend is upon us in the shape of Some Slam who looked a very smart type for Thomas Mullins when dispataching Summit Meeting in a bumper at Listowel with serious ease just over a year ago. A sole hurdle win in four starts was over Fingal Rock whom I also rate as a very solid yardstick and suggests that there is still more to come from this gelding recently switched to crack handler David Marnane.

The intention was to have a hurdle race before this but the snap in the weather meant they took a race in at Dundalk and it was a fine blow out, travelling very sweetly from a slow start and tiring before the finish. I think the 33/1 on offer will not last at all and the Irish bookmakers that have priced the race up have already cut this one so well worth an e/w stab on one with some untapped class which is what will be needed in a race like this. Interesting to see who gets jocked up nearer the time but something to look forward to this Sunday.

Advice -

Leop 9th January 2011

MCR Hurdle - Some Slam 0.5pt e/w - 33/1 BET365, VC and Stan James ( 4 places and 1/4 odds )

The Judge


 

 

 

Posted 15th March 2010 -

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY 1 - Tuesday 16th March 2010

CHAMPION HURDLE PREVIEW - 3.20pm

There has been some turmoil in the last few weeks leading up to the hurdling Blue Riband event on the opening day of Cheltenham.

Firstly Binocular was out of form and out of the race and now is back in great form and back in the race. Then Solwhit was less than 50/50 to run after a bad scope and tough of the lurgy only to be on the boat and confirmed as taking his chance. It is a difficult one to take if you are a punter and took the first announcements at face value and laid off ante-post bets or backed others accordingly but that is the way it goes and with 24 hour exchanges available some people will feel that they now have gained an edge and some will be hoping their laying fingers are not on fire come 3.30pm.........

Neither actually appeal to me as the winner. You can't back Binocular with any confidence in single figures ( or in double figures ) as it has not been right since the Champion last year when touched off in a below par renewal of the race in my opinion. AP will ride and a reproduction of the effort behind Punjabi is probably not enough this year so will need to improve and off the back of this campaign in 09/10 that's not on the cards surely.

Solwhit is a super tough and talented horse who would prefer this race to have an extra couple of furlongs and a good bit of cut in the ground. His win at Aintree over Fiveforthree was a superstar run and the pinnacle of his efforts to date in my book so surely if he can act on the course and handle the ground it's hard to kick him out of the front three but with the hiccup in preparation, ground looking less than ideal and no course form I cannot advise backing the Charles Byrnes horse for this. His form in Ireland this year is as expected beating the same horses on dodgy ground but in a style that suggests he is superior regardless of conditions.

When Solwhit did come over to tackle the English horses this term it was in a ponderously run Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Kempton where he couldn't land a blow in a sprinting finish on tacky ground. That day belonged to the current favourite Go Native who used his burst of speed to good effect and won in a canter. Binocular, Sublimity and Won In The Dark were all in opposition that day but had no chance against the speed of Noel Meade's Supreme Novice winner. Let's be frank about the race and it was slower than a maiden hurdle on the same day so perhaps can be disregarded bar confirming that Go Native has a kick of a sprinter regardless of pace in a race.

Punjabi and Celestial Halo will again have claims at their favourite tracks and on decent ground but I am not sure the race last year will be up to standard to win this year. The Henderson hurdlers have not had great preps this year with Punjabi winning a benefit event last time which only confirmed he still has four legs and can canter and Zaynar fluffing his lines in style on bad ground last time out. Zaynar looks a stayer and will not appreciate the sharper course and speedier opposition here even if the cheek pieces sharpen him up so I would be shocked to see him get involved at the finish. Celestial Halo will need to make the pace and crank it up to draw a sting out of the faster finishing types and Ruby is capable of doing this - his form this season has not been up to par but I would not rule out a big run from him or Punjabi and both have place claims.

Khyber Kim is an enigma of a horse. A girly name aside the horse has had some serious training problems to go with an abundance of ability. It's hard to know exactly what level of form he could reach on the day but his two wins at Cheltenham this year highlight an improving 8 year old who has found his home with the Twiston-Davies team. I am wary of him and it may pay to write off his earlier career defeats which are well below the mark to win a Champion as purely down to idiosyncrasies which are now ironed out having won two races in a row and both impressively.

The Supreme Novices Hurdle last year saw a coming of age of Go Native and the way he travelled and then changed gears to win marked him as a serious horse and one who's running style is a rarity but one that you have to enjoy. The thing that is striking about the horse is a super high travelling speed on the bridle combined with a burst of speed to put races to bed - something his trainer's enigmatic stable star Harchibald never had. Pace in the race is unimportant as he can sit on the back of whatever speed the principles choose to go and come the last flight be let down and kick away. What is also apparent though from his wins at Newcastle and Kempton this year is that the burst doesn't last forever and he can tire or idle once hitting the daylight. This was nearly a downfall in the Supreme last year as Medermit came with a rally towards the finish and he will have to see off the Alan King horse again this time round although I think the difference in improvement of the two since that race is significant enough.

Starluck is a similar horse and one that looks to have progressed again this year - he was beaten fair and square at Kempton though with Davy Condon checking his wing mirrors whilst Go Native dozed up the run in - if it's a slow paced race this is the horse to fear as he can kick in a finish and possesses plenty of speed. I think the race lacks a pace maker so if Ruby doesn't make up everybody's minds for them that will really suit the selection and Starluck. If it is quick then the travelling speed of Go Native will keep him involved but blunt the turn off foot but will it blunt it enough????....It has been mentioned this week that the last hurdle is a touch closer to the finish line this year which can only assist the horse and for that I thank the clerks and management at Prestbury Park.......

With the ground, track and form not in question I make Go Native a very solid option for the race this year and he can bury the Harchibald memories for Messrs Carberry and Meade.

Advice -

Go Native 1.5pts Win - 4/1 General Available ( bog, faller money back concession with Sporting / VC check out best offers!!  )

The Judge


Posted 10th March 2010 -

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY 1 - Tuesday 16th March 2010

Supreme Novice Hurdle - 1.30.....

When the roar goes up for the first race you know Santa's arrived with an adult version of Christmas day. All hopes, fears, dreams and (most ) ante-post vouchers still alive for at least a few more minutes......

Traditionally you are looking for an Irish trained 5 or 6 year old crack hurdler who's managed a win last time up and rated in the 130s bracket....it's also been a bit of a graveyard for highly touted Irish hot pots with often an emerald isle winner without the hype. Think of Sweet Wake and Cousin Vinny as recent examples and it pays to look at all the contenders from over the water whatever the price ( Ebaziyan !!!!! )

The English have had a few winners in the last ten years with Arcalis and Noland but prior to that you have to crank the memory bank and recall Hors La Loi III in 1999 so the Irish have held sway for sure. This year it's all about last years Champion Bumper winner Dunguib and the market suggests the Phillip Fenton beast is a Rolls Royce of a horse surrounded by Punto's and Fiesta's and it may well be right. We have yet to see the horse off the bridle in four hack canter victories over the novices at home and only to destroy his field did he seem to get the hurry up at Cheltenham last March completely eating the hill like a pac man game........new Istabracq perhaps but what are the negatives?

Firstly Dunguib is 7 which is a tad old for a usual winner of the race, secondly he hasn't jumped with fluency in any of his starts to date and has yet to be tested by the rivals he has faced in Ireland so is not battle hardened over obstacles. His jockey is inexperienced on the big occasion but knows the horse better than anyone so should be up to it?

It's argued that he hasn't jumped properly so far as he is hardly awake when dismissing his opposition and watching him it's not too difficult to believe. Of course he's odds on and likely to be a steaming fire ball of a bet for the Irish first up so don't expect a drift. Thanks though to betting w/o markets and Paddy Power's offer of returned win stake if the proverbial good thing bolts up we can play up the chances of the opposition. My view on the race is that unless something knocks him over he will be nigh on impossible to beat although he can't jump like he has so far and win a Cheltenham Supreme Novices so that will be down to him.......

The best of the rest seems wide open with Get Me Out Of Here the standard bearer for the home team based on his Totesport Trophy success and there was a lot to like about the attitude after a last fence error and a smart turn of foot. Nicky Henderson saddles Oscar Whisky, two time hurdles canter winner over trees and other garden ornaments and from Ireland we have Willie Mullins' Blackstairmountain who's had plenty of experience on the level and bumpers but just one win over hurdles so far. Rite of Passage is a hot pot for an alternative engagement at the meeting and will likely swerve this as will Peddlers Cross from the McCain yard and both would be live contenders if changing their plans last minute...

Phillip Hobbs has high hopes for Menorah who was given a shocker of a ride last time and may have left his best effort behind him although the win over Belvano at Kempton is up there with the best on offer so perhaps not one to write off for an e/w play. Some of the bigger priced horses include Dan Breen from the Pipe yard who has not done enough form wise with easy victories but must be respected and also Flat Out from the Mullins yard who hasn't done a lot wrong.

One I like at a big price is the other Henderson runner General Miller who seems to have been discounted for failing to beat Restless Harry at Cheltenham in January over 2m4f. That effort for me was an improvement on his smart win at Cheltenham in December when lowering the colours of the Nicholls trained Ghizao who has hacked up since and before that hadn't seen a horse within 5 lengths of his rear. Back at the 2m1f trip and with the stamina sapping hill to come into play the son of Karinga Bay can follow the footsteps of the previous winners of the December trial ( include Noland and Tidal Bay ) and make up to a very smart type.

He may not beat Dunguib but at 25/1 and perhaps the forgotton horse with track experience, age, form, ground and ability not in question he merits an e/w bet to get the meeting off to a flyer.

Advice -

Supreme Novice Hurdle

General Miller 1pt e/w - 25/1 Paddy Power NRNB

( 3 places 1/4 odds and win stake refunded should Dunguib win...)

The Judge


Ante Post Advice 12th October

THE TOTE CESAREWITCH - October 17th at Newmarket

Usually a super betting heat and now the latest dec stage is out of the way it's time to have a dabble. There are a number of fancied horses that I can't back at this stage and I'll give a few reasons why as we run through. Darley Sun is the market leader, form is in the book and similar to that of previous fourth in the race as a three year old Askar Tau. However the record of three year olds is dismal and at the prices this is a definate pass for The Judge's wallet. Swingkeel is many layers next best at around the 8/1 mark and whilst the horse has been consistent and merits a shot at the race he has also had a lot of runs this year and two previous efforts at Newmarket suggest to look elsewhere especially as already single figures in the market.

Electrolyser is an interesting horse having really come good over 2m last time when winning at Ascot and making all in what represented a change of usual tactics. Lightly raced, the right age and obviously in good heart will surely mak a bold bid. Negatives are the rating it is on the high side and the penalty to carry adds a burden that has not been managed before in the race with 38 attempts and only a handfull of placed horses. The best chance of the top three in the market in my view and will go close.

The next bracket in the betting brings in the Galway Plate winner Bahrain Storm who was a revalation winning the Hurdle and then following up on the flat in two days at the Irish summer festival. Watching the horse win the second time there was a bit hard to take given the exertions of the day before and although potentially well in when compared to jumps ratings I can't hlep think that the horse should be given a bigger break for a winter campaign. At about the same price is Alanbrooke who is also bidding to break the 3 year old statistic and will find it tough to do so after a long campaign so far and is passed over.

With a smiliar profile to Swingkeel I would not bet on Sweetheart and it is a possibility that Poulton's horse will miss the cut for this anyway so keep in the background. Some jumpers who are back on the flat for this include Mamlook and Royal Rationale from the Pipe yard and Truckers Delight one of our favourites from the Irish scene. Pipe's duo look to have been laid out for the race as you would expect but a lack of a recent run for Mamlook and the fact that he couldn't do it last year with Ryan Moore steering put me off sufficiently and of the pair Royale Rationale makes far greater appeal. His third to Judegthemoment at Ascot was a cracking effort and there is likely a bit of improvement to come on the level. A very interesting contender for this. Truckers Delight has been in and out this year and even racked up a chase win in between a couple of poor runs when fancied. It would be a great acheivement if he could score in this but at 8 years old and a poor run last time out it appears unlikely but I would not begrudge connections if it happens!

Mark Johnston also saddles Yes Mr President who carries a penalty for his last time out success and again appears to have had enough runs this season to think this may be a tough ask. If anyone can keep him sweet then it's Johnston but at the prices I'm happy enough to leave alone especially as he has one winner from 14 entries and no placed horses.

Philip Hobbs has to be mentioned having put runners in the race to finish 1st, 3rd and 7th in the last three years. He doesn't have a Detroit City this time though and Fair Along who will be ridden by Fallon will have a lot to do on flat debut this year. Also the horse has had chances off lower marks in similar races before and is not my idea of the winner or any value.

Nanton who ran so well in the Cambridgeshire is likely to have a go at this and is in rude health but has done enough for me this term and is passed over although I wouldn't rule out a placing and the price is fair if you like to chance him.

Is it a pre-requisite usually for a horse to take this having previously won over atleast 2m but I think you can forgive that in the case of Henry Cecil trained Ajaan who has won at 15f and been touched off in a Chester Cup over 18 1/2 f. What is striking about the 5 year old is his record at the track which reads 1,1,1 and the fact that connections stated their intentions for this race as soon as he finished 4th in a muddling class 2 event at Salisbury. Tom Queally is jocked up already and the ground will not be a factor. I can see this horse going off around the 10/1 mark especially if given a decent draw around 17 or above. The light prep and connections give me hope we can snatch a bit of value now.

Advice -

Ajaan 0.75pt e/w - 25/1 Ladbrokes, Coral and W Hill - weight just told in the finish....5th a decent effort and a pay out with most firms!....

The Judge


AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL - 4th April 2009

The showpiece of the jumping season for the housewife is nearly here but it's a great opportunity to roll out the trends and get a tasty bet betting against the crowd and the once a year punters. The favourite for this years race is My Will but for me he will have too much weight and is already a very short price despite being "well in" following a run in the Gold Cup. Ruby Walsh may ride but I think he is more likely to go for his fathers horse Southern Vic or Willie Mullins choice as they will both be more competitively weighted and will provide better chances in my book.

Up there with him in the market is Butlers Cabin, he has the right credentials but perhaps left his chance behind last time round and has had some tough races in his career so far winning at both Cheltenham and Fairyhouse. A big player off his mark and McCoy will probably ride hoping to end his personal hoodoo in the race.

Hear The Echo would be the best play in the race as his profile is perfect however the handicapper has slapped him for being exactly that and his weight of 11st plus is a big minus. Only Hedgehunter has managed this in a very long time and he was a superior horse, good enough to be properly competitive in a Gold Cup and whom relished this event like few others.

I have to look lower down the weights and the betting and it's easy to see value lurking in the form of Parsons Legacy from the Phillip Hobbs yard. He was pulled out of the race last year at the final entry stage and although there was some confusion as to whether this was an error it later transpired the horse had problems. That hasn't stopped him winning first time up this season and his excellent record fresh is one to consider as he will arrive at Aintree from a decent break. He has placed in the Scottish National, will get the trip and has a touch of class that winners of this race tend to need. There are all sorts of competition of course and the final line up is not yet known but Parsons Legacy fits all the aspects needed to be a major player and his price is too big assuming all well on the day.

I was tempted to go for Offshore Account but have a few niggling doubts about him to advise a bet just yet, if he gets there we may well have an interest on the day.

Best four bets on current review - 1. Parsons Legacy 2. Hear The Echo 3. Southern Vic 4. Offshore Account

Advice -

1pt e/w Parsons Legacy 40/1 Boyle Sports

The Judge



LINCOLN HANDICAP - 3.45pm Doncaster 28th March 2009

With Cheltenham over it's always a good time to assess the Lincoln Handicap and get a grip with the flat once more. It's quite a change but one that refreshes the mind and reminds you of all the horses you followed last year and the form lines that have been put in the memory bank since the jumpers took over. A horse that really caught my eye last year was Mangham. He can't run a bad race, is not ground dependent and has a nice mark for the curtain raiser at Doncaster. He was tried over slightly further than a mile last year, atctually took a race at 1m1f but the trainer is now convinced that a mile is ideal and his genuine pace should keep him competitive at higher grade. A nice weight is important and he fits the other stats I like to follow for this event and looks a decent early stab at the race. The market looks a bit lopsided and some of the fancied horses are not certain to run so we could steal some value now with a selection that bar accidents is going to be there on the day.

He is the stable star and is reportedly in fine health so a big run is hoped for and the 16/1 generally available looks fair enough to me.

Advice - Mangham 1pt e/w - 16/1 Paddy Power 4 places paid...

The Judge


Arkle - Cheltenham Tuesday March 10th

This is a slightly odd renewal of the Arkle with no superstar heading the market. As usual the favourite is trained by Paul Nicholls in the shape of Tatenen and his price has gone up and down like a yo yo since before Xmas. His record is only blemished by a soft ground defeat in Ireland and connections have been very bullish about his chance at Cheltenham. In my view the other Nicholls horse Imsingingtheblues would be the pick of his pair although a flat track would suit him better and Ruby prefers Tatenen.

I'm happy to leave both alone and also to let McCoy go unbacked aboard Henrietta Knight's horse Calgary Bay. This is a fantastic looking horse that jumps great and will be hard to keep out of the first three. The stable are delighted with him and AP is obviously a plus but I would be concerned that he might get left behind in a frantic run 2m and his trainer thought the same when he won there in January over slightly further. He is preferred over the Nicholls pair but probably not the winner at this trip however a super horse.

Of the Irish challenge Forpadydeplasterer heads their fancies and rightly so his performances this season have been highly creditable albeit in defeat. He could be accused of being a tripless horse but I feel he just needs a quick pace and to be produced late. This could be his day and the ground should be fine for him to finally get his head infront. Course form is a big pointer and he ran a good race at the Festival last year - a live chance.

Made in Taipan was a decent hurdler and will fancy a crack at this although for me he has been over raced and can throw in a few stinkers. Follow The Plan and Golden Silver are probably not good enough and hard to recommend with confidence.

Tom George has his string in quite amazing shape at present and he will saddle Tartak in this race. Campaigned over further so far this season a step back in trip looks a good call by the trainer and this classy French import will take some pegging back over 2m. Beaten already by Calgary Bay at Cheltenham over 2m4f this horse has improved since and slammed a decent field at Kempton in February. What takes the eye is how well he travels and jumps at pace and he will be hard to pass.

So for me its between Imsingingtheblues, Forpadydeplasterer, Calgary Bay and Tartak. At the prices it is worth taking a chance with Forpadydeplasterer to finally come good in a fast run race and a small e/w play with Tartak who will relish the rain which is forecast and make this a real test under Paddy Brennan.

Advice -

Forpadydeplasterer 1pt e/w  - 11/1 Totesport

Tartak 0.5pt e/w - 14/1 Paddy Power BET 365 ( best price G'teed )

The Judge

 


Supreme Novices Hurdle

1.30 Cheltenham 10th March 2009

The curtain opener for this years festival is much more competitive than the bookmakers are suggesting with the shortening of Cousin Vinny into a frightening 2/1 favourite. Last years bumper winner has impressed already this year in Ireland but I remain unconvinced that this is the best hurdler on show and the retention of Paddy Mullins as jockey is a definite minus. I am not saying the rider is a poor one but the opening race of the festival and the hurly burly of a championship race is no place to cut your teeth with just one effort over the hurdles at Cheltenham before this for the young man. I think if there is anything against the favourite then this could be his undoing - at the prices a definite swerve although it would be a great effort from him and fitting for the event should they manage it!

Kempes is likely to go for Willie Mullins also and will have the able assistance of Ruby Walsh, he is not without a chance although perhaps a little short of top class he does at least fit the trends for the winner of this race and I would not put anyone off an e/w play.

Staying with the Irish contenders a lot of interest recently has been with Go Native of Noel Meades. Given the record of the Meade stable at Cheltenham and the fact that this horse has had too many runs over hurdles on a trends front, previous winners tend to be more lightly raced between 2 and 4 starts, then I can't get too excited although he does travel nicely and will be a likely player especially in softer ground.

To the English contenders and David Pipe is likely to run Torpichen who even though only four has arguably the best form of the contenders from their side of the water. His win last time was impressive but as a rule I don't like four year olds in this contest, I'd be pretty sure he is not the next Hors La Loi, so I think the value is elsewhere still. Ainama of Nicky Henderson's yard would seemingly have been put in his place last time but could still improve further and might ( we'll come to this later ) have the assistance of AP McCoy to encourage him to do so.

Alan King saddles Medermit who fits trends and could go well but for me lacks a little class for this contest but will not lack for preparation. One who really catches my eye however is Red Maloney from the Howard Johnson stable. A top performer on the flat, a close defeat to Yeats more than testament to that, he has been campaigned in the north to gain experience and stay away from dodgy ground that has been everywhere else this season so far. You have to be impressed with his style of racing and Johnson took this with a similar type Arcalis so clearly knows the required skills for this contest. The only minus is the quality of rivals he has faced so far but oozing class from the flat I do not think the step up is a problem and more than likely the quicker he goes the better he will jump and travel. A big shout on decent ground and if the ground is softer there is reason to believe, from his flat form on similar, that it will not be a problem.

Now back to McCoy, it is becoming apparent that he wants to ride Michael Flips from Andy Turnells stable and this should be well noted. The horse won a decent race last time under the Champ and that form is well franked. The work he did with Blue Bajan ( a champion hurdle contender and Swinton hurdle winner ) was very eye-catching this week on the all weather. Definitely has chances here if that was anything to go by and if McCoy jumps up then the price will tumble accordingly.

At longer prices Aachen is a bit of a curve ball but might go for the handicaps and Golan Way brings good course form to the party at long odds for a small stable.

Paddy Power have gone a little crazy with their offer of refunds on all bets should Cousin Vinny win so we should take advantage now - if Paddy Mullins does it then we can all be happy for him and no worse off - if not then I think our two selections will be bang there.

Not long to go now....

The Judge

Advice

1pt e/w Red Maloney 10/1

1pt e/w Michael Flips 10/1

Both with Paddy Power NRNB and Concession re Cousin Vinny - applies to both win and place parts of the bet!


Racing Blog 23rd December 2008 �

BINOCULAR SIGHTS SET FIRM FOR CHELTENHAM - CAN HE BE TAKEN ON?

Following Binocular's demolition job on Saturday the pundits are already crowning him Champion Hurdler for Cheltenham come March. We were right in calling the danger as last years Triumph winner Celestial Halo but really that is fairly liberal use of the word watching the race again!

Charlie Swan likens Binocular to the mighty Istabracq and the Racing Post's TopSpeed suggests he's hit a mark that would win nine of the last ten versions of the Champion which is no mean feat of course. He was visually very impressive in the despatching of Celestial Halo over the last two flights making him look like a handicapper and there is no way Celestial Halo ran below par. However he was beaten at Cheltenham when in receipt of weight in the Supreme Novices by Captain Cee Bee and that perhaps raises the one question mark over the horse - the Cheltenham course and in particular the steep hill finish. Throw in that he is only 4 years old and 5 come Cheltenham time and the price looks skinny to me.

So what is there in the ranks to take him on with bar injury between now and the festival??

In my view two horses stand out and merit consideration. Sizing Europe is the horse which set's the standard in Ireland. A breathtaking performance last January at Leopardstown when slamming the top drawer yardsticks of Al Eile and Hardy Eustace is equal if not superior to that of Binocular at the weekend. A pleasing comeback run behind Hardy Eustace when having the race in the bag but lacking for crucial fitness has gone some way to restoring any lost faith since the Champion last year when he went off warm favourite only to finish distressed � clearly not true running by any means. It is no surprise that despite not winning that race he sits second favourite in the ante post lists at around 8/1. Likely to run and probably impress this weekend he can be backed now and will no doubt be shorter on the big day bar injury.

The other horse to consider is definitely more off the radar, at the current prices Blue Bajan screams value before he tackles the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton this weekend. His form is below that of a Champion Hurdle winner but he is improving and that is vital at this stage. A pleasing run behind the Ladbroke Hurdle winner Sentry Duty conceding lumps of weight was a nice seasonal warm up and then his next race saw him travel upsides Punjabi and Sublimity before the sprint finish to the re-scheduled Fighting Fifth hurdle at Wetherby. That performance was a real eye catcher having had a disrupted prep, late jockey change and a false run race would not have suited at all. Graham Lee is the key to this horse and he has won three times from four starts on board including a fantastic demolition victory in the Swinton Hurdle last backend. At 40/1 and the likelihood of getting optimum conditions this weekend I can only see this price tumbling should he duly perform so worth taking a chance now at lumpy odds.

Cheltenham Festival � Ante Post � Champion Hurdle March 2009

SIZING EUROPE 1pt win  8/1 ( VC Bet and Sporting Bet )

BLUE BAJAN - 1pt e/w 40/1 ( BET 365 and Sporting Bet )

 


Tote Cesarewitch - 17th Oct 2009 - Ajaan 0.75pt e/w 25/1 - 5th...a place return with majority of bookmakers.....

Aintree Grand National 4th April - Parsons Legacy 1pt e/w 40/1 Boyle Sports ( Generally available elsewhere ) ( added 19th March 2009 )  - Fell

Doncaster 28th March 2009 - Lincoln Handicap - Mangham 1pt e/w 16/1 Paddy Power 4 places paid ( added 16th March 2009 ) - MONEY BACK NR BALLOTED OUT

Cheltenham 10th March - Arkle, Forpadydeplasterer 1pt e/w 11/1 & Tartak 0.5pt e/w 14/1 - WINNER 11/1 Forpadydeplasterer

Cheltenham 10th March - Supreme Novices Hurdle, 1pt e/w Michael Flips / Red Maloney both 10/1 & refunds if Cousin Vinny wins - no joy...

Cheltenham March 10th - Champion Hurdle, Sizing Europe 1pt win 8/1, Blue Bajan 1pt e/w 40/1 - no joy...

Cheltenham March 11th - Royal SunAlliance Chase - Lodge Lane 1pt e/w 20/1 - no luck

 
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